Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 5/28/24
From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Astros and Mariners facing off in an AL West matchup. The Astros are +110 on the money line compared to the Mariners at -131, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 9:40 PM ET, and Hunter Brown is starting for the Astros, while the Mariners are going with Luis Castillo. Houston is 3rd in the AL West, while the Mariners are 1st, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +110
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, May 28th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Seattle picked up a 3-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a three-run 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th. As for the Astros, they scored two runs in the 5th and couldn’t push across another run.
Julio Rodriguez was the difference for the Mariners, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. J.P. Crawford also had a two-hit game for Seattle. As for the Astros, Jake Meyers went 2/4 with an RBI.
Bryce Miller got the win for the Mariners out of the bullpen, while Andres Munoz got the save. Framber Valdez took the loss for Houston, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston is 24-30 overall and 4.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 12-9 in AL West play. The Astros are on a two-game winning streak as the underdog, and they are 4-3 as the road underdog this year.
The Astros have gone just 14-15 at home this year but have been slightly worse on the road, coming in at 10-15. This season, the Astros are 19-24 as the favorite. As the underdog overall, Houston is 5-6. Their overall series record is 8-8-1, and they have won two straight series on the road.
When it comes to betting the run line, the Astros have been a team to avoid this season. They are 22-32, and their run line record is 12-17 at home and 10-15 on the road. Their average run margin is -0.1, and they have been outscored by an average of 1.2 runs per game on the road. However, they have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog.
When the Astros play on the road, the over/under line is set at an average of 9 runs per game. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 21-30. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-4. The over has hit in 87.0% of their games this season, but they are currently on a three-game under streak.
Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today as he faces off against the Mariners on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and 10 total appearances. Brown’s record for the season is 1-5, and he comes in with an ERA of 7.06. Looking at his WHIP, it is currently 1.78. In his 43 1/3 innings of work, Brown has allowed a total of nine home runs. The last time he took the mound, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work, taking the loss. Before that outing, he had won his previous start.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .263. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best slugging percentage in the MLB. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. At home, they are scoring 4.9 runs per contest.
Kyle Tucker has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 18 home runs are the most in the league. He is also batting a solid .276 and is 6th in the league with 39 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, he has gone deep five times. Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve have also been swinging the bat well for the Astros, with both players having gone deep nine times this season.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 29-26, which has them leading the AL West by 3.5 games. The Mariners have gone 7-3 in divisional games this year and have won two straight games overall. Seattle took the first game of this series vs. the Astros.
At home, the Mariners are 16-10 this year and have gone 13-16 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle has gone 16-13 and 13-13 as the underdog. The Mariners’ overall series record is 8-7-2, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games overall.
Seattle is 14-12 against the run line at home this season, and the average run margin in their games at T-Mobile Park is +0.4 runs per game. They are 27-28 overall against the run line this season, and their average run margin is -0.1 runs per game. The Mariners have covered the run line in two straight games, and they are 13-16 against the run line on the road this season.
Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 21-31, with the average line set at 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mariners are 6-10. The combined run average in their games this season is 7.6 runs per game. Almost half of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5, with 27 of their games having higher lines, while just 12 have had lower lines.
Seattle is starting right-hander Luis Castillo today vs. the Astros. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with a 3.31 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Castillo took the loss vs. the Yankees, going five innings and giving up two earned runs, three walks, and two homers. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .243 off Castillo this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.21. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.51 strikeouts per nine innings.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent power threat this season, as he is 7th in the league with 11 home runs. However, he is batting just .210. Mitch Haniger and Ty France are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers apiece, with Haniger batting just .213 and France at .244. Dylan Moore is also at six homers and is batting .239.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are 28th in scoring at 3.7 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. The Mariners have been striking out at a high rate this season and are also one of the worst teams in terms of drawing walks.