Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

Minnesota comes into Sunday’s matchup vs. the Blue Jays looking for a series win, as they are sending Bailey Ober to the mound vs. Alek Manoah for Toronto. First pitch from the Rogers Centre is set for 1:37 PM ET. SNET is carrying the TV rights for today’s AL matchup.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Twins are the favorite on the money line at -138. Looking at the standings, the Twins are 23-16, and the Blue Jays are 18-21.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +117

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 1:37 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Toronto rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Blue Jays vs. Twins series. The Blue Jays scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 10-8 win. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -149 on the money line.

Kevin Gausman got the start for the Blue Jays, going just three innings while giving up six runs and striking out six. Erik Swanson got the win out of the bullpen, and Jordan Romano got the save. Simeon Woods Richardson only went 4 1/3 innings for the Twins, giving up five earned runs on eight hits.

At the plate, the Blue Jays were led by Davis Schneider, who went 3/4 with a home run. Danny Jansen also had three hits and scored two runs for Toronto. Carlos Santana hit a home run for the Twins, going 2/4 with three RBIs.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 23-16 overall and is 0.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are 12-7 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have won five straight series.

At home, the Twins are 11-8 this year, and they have gone 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota is 18-7, and they are 10-1 as the favorite on the road. So far, they have an overall series record of 6-4-2.

Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 21-18 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 12-8. The Twins have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game this season, with a +0.5 run margin at home and +0.6 on the road. They have been a better bet on the run line as the favorite, going 14-11 compared to 7-7 as the underdog.

Minnesota’s over/under record for the season is 20-18, and the average over/under line for their games is 8.0. The Twins have played in five games with over/under lines of 8.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 2-7. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2 runs per game.

Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 4.42. Opponents are batting .216 off Ober this season. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Ober has pitched well at home, with an ERA of 2.3 compared to 15.61 on the road. So far, he has turned in three quality starts.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 6th best home run hitting team, and they have the 3rd best isolated power mark in the league. Minnesota’s team batting average of .242 is 10th in the MLB.

Ryan Jeffers has been a big run producer for the Twins this season, as his 30 RBIs are 4th in the league. He is also 4th in the league with nine home runs. Jeffers is batting .292 for the season and has gone 9/32 with four homers over his last nine games. Willi Castro has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/38 in his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting .271 with three homers.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 8.5 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 18-21 and are 5-5 against other teams in the AL East. Toronto will be at home today, and they are 9-8 at home this year compared to 9-13 on the road.

As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 14-10 this year but are just 4-11 as the underdog, including having lost two straight as the home underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 4-6-2, and they are 4-6 in their last ten games overall.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.8 runs in their victories. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.5 runs. Overall, they are 17-22 against the run line this season, including a 7-10 mark at home and a 10-12 mark on the road. As the favorite, they are 12-12 vs. the run line, while they are just 5-10 as the underdog.

The Toronto Blue Jays have had 38 games this season with over/under lines set, and the over/under record for those games is 17-21. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-9, and 12.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Coming off a tough start in his first outing of the season, Alek Manoah will be looking to bounce back at home against the Twins. Manoah gave up 6 earned runs in just 4 innings of work in his first start, and he also gave up 2 home runs. He did strike out 6 batters, but he also gave up 6 hits and walked 4.

Currently, the Blue Jays offense is 24th in the league in runs per game at 3.7. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs and have the 19th ranked OPS in the league. However, the Blue Jays do have five players with at least four home runs, and they have a collective team batting average of .234.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, going 15/37 in his last nine games, and is currently 9th in the league in RBIs. Danny Jansen has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games. Davis Schneider is also coming off a strong stretch, going 9/26 in his last eight games.