Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/24

At 4:10 PM from Fenway Park in Boston, we have an interleague matchup between the Nationals and Red Sox. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Nationals are 19-18, and the Red Sox are 19-19. Television coverage for today’s game is being handled by MASN.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Red Sox are the favorite at -157. Looking at the starting pitching matchup, we have Jake Irvin for the Nationals and Cooper Criswell for the Red Sox.

BOSTON RED SOX VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -157

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, May 11th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Red Sox by a score of 5-1. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +177 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Patrick Corbin for the Nationals and Tanner Houck for the Red Sox. Corbin only went five innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Houck was tagged for three homers and took the loss.

Washington’s two homers came from Eddie Rosario and Trey Lipscomb. Rosario, Victor Robles, and Connor Wong each had two RBIs for the Nationals’ offense.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 19-18 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East, seven games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 5-2 in divisional games. The Nationals are playing well heading into today’s game, as they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Nationals are just 7-10 this year, but they have been better on the road at 12-8. As the underdog, Washington is 17-17 compared to 2-1 as the favorite. The Nationals’ overall series record is 5-6-1 this year.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 24-13. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 15-5 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most of those games, as they are 22-12 against the run line in those situations. They have also been a good bet in their last three games as the underdog, covering the run line in each of those contests.

Washington’s games have been averaging 8.5 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 17-19. Their games have had an average O/U line of 9 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-8. So far this season, 27% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8.5 runs, while 32.4% have had lower lines. In their last 10 games, the O/U record is 5-5.

Washington is sending Jake Irvin to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and has a record of 2-3. Irvin’s ERA is 3.72, and he most recently pitched on May 4th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one home run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came on the road. This year, opponents are batting .250 off Irvin, and his WHIP for the season is 1.19.

Washington’s offense has been pretty average so far this season, as they are 18th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .232, which is 17th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .313 is 10th in the league. The Nationals have been tough to strike out, as they are 8th in the league in fewest strikeouts.

Luis Garcia Jr. and CJ Abrams have been the Nationals’ top run producers so far this season, with both players having 20 RBIs. Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a team-high seven homers and is batting .318. Over his last eight games, Garcia Jr. has gone 11/28 with two homers. Eddie Rosario has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 with two homers in his last eight games. Rosario is also on a five-game hitting streak.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is at an even 19-19 overall and is 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have yet to win a game vs. another AL East team, going 0-3. The Red Sox have dropped three straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Nationals.

At home, the Red Sox are 7-10 this year compared to 12-9 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 9-6 this year and 10-13 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 6-5-1 but have lost two straight series.

When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.8. When they lose, they tend to lose by a lot, with an average run margin of -3.3. Their overall run line record is at .500, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 13-8. They are just 6-11 against the run line at home.

The Red Sox have had a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 14-21. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-6. In 21.1% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. Their under streak is currently at three games.

Cooper Criswell is getting the start for the Red Sox today, and he will be facing the Nationals at home. Criswell has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing vs. the Giants. In that game, he went 5 innings and struck out 4. He also had a no-decision in his first start of the year, going 4 1/3 innings and allowing 1 earned run on 5 hits.

The Red Sox offense has been pretty average this season, as they are just 16th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.3 runs per game. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they are 27th in the league in strikeouts per game. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 9th in the league, and have the 7th best on-base percentage in the league.

Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s most consistent hitters this season, with Duran batting .264 and O’Neill at .279. Duran has gone 12/40 in his last 10 games, while Ceddanne Rafaela has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/36 in his last 10 games. Rafaela is currently on an eight-game hitting streak.