Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 5/10/24
At 7:10 PM from Citi Field in New York, we have an NL East matchup between the Braves and Mets. Heading into Friday’s game, the Braves have a record of 22-12, while the Mets are 18-18. Charlie Morton will go for the Braves, and he is facing off against Jose Quintana for the Mets.
Right now, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Braves are the favorite on the money line at -153. This game can be seen on SNY.
NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +127
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, May 10th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Red Sox, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -213. It was a four-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Red Sox could only score a total of six hits. Atlanta’s Chris Sale put together a good start, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out 10 Red Sox batters.
Marcell Ozuna was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with two homers and four RBIs. The Braves really broke things open with their four-run 1st inning, and the Red Sox’s offense could only score a total of three runs in the 6th.
With an overall record of 22-12, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, two games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Braves have won two straight games, and they are 8-4 against other teams in the NL East this year. Atlanta closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with two straight wins.
At home, the Braves have been really good this year, going 13-4, but they are just above .500 at 9-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 22-10 compared to 0-2 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 8-3-1.
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 9-8. Their average run margin in those games is 1.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games, and their overall run line record is 17-17. They have been favored in most of those games, going 16-16 against the run line.
Atlanta’s over/under record is 12-20, and the average line in their games is 9 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Mets is set at 8 runs, and the Braves have had just two games this season with an over/under line of 8 runs. Their combined run average this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their games have had an over/under line of 8 runs just 11.8% of the time. The under has hit in each of their last three games, and their games have gone over the line in just 29.4% of their games this season.
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 2-0 to go along with an ERA of 3.50. Morton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 36 innings of work, he has issued 3.25 walks per nine innings compared to 8.25 strikeouts. Morton has turned in three quality starts this year. Looking back at his most recent outing, Morton finished with a no-decision against the Dodgers, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. He only gave up one homer in that outing.
Marcell Ozuna comes into the game as the league’s top home run hitter, and his 38 RBIs are also the best in the MLB. Ozuna is batting .315 for the season and has three homers in his last eight games. Travis d’Arnaud is also swinging a good bat for the Braves, with a team-leading 12 homers and a batting average of .265.
Over their last eight games, both Austin Riley and Ronald Acuna Jr. have gone 9/32, with each player hitting one home run over that stretch. Ozuna is also on a three-game hitting streak. However, the Braves will need him to pick up the pace a bit, as he is just 6/27 in his last eight games.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, closing out their series with a 7-5 win. After allowing three runs to the Cardinals in the bottom of the first, the Mets responded with six runs of their own. New York went on to add another run in the 5th inning.
José Buttó got the start for the Mets, going five innings and picking up the win. He did struggle with his command, giving up three walks and hitting a batter. Pete Alonso had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
The Mets are at an even 18-18 this season, and they are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 3rd in the division and went 2-1 in their most recent series vs. the Cardinals. At home, the Mets are 9-10 this season.
So far, the Mets have been the underdog in more games than they have been the favorite, putting up an 8-9 mark as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Mets are 6-5-1 this season. New York has won two straight games, and this came after dropping four in a row.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. They are 19-17 against the run line this season, and they have been especially profitable on the road, going 11-6 against the run line. They are 8-11 against the run line at home, where they have a negative run differential on the season.
So far this season, the Mets have played 18 games that have gone over the total and 18 games that have gone under the total. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, their games have gone over the total three times and under the total three times. Overall, the Mets’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays. In that start, he took the loss, going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up 8 earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Quintana has allowed at least one home run in each outing. His ERA for the season is 5.20, along with a record of 1-3. Opponents are batting .272 off Quintana this year. So far, he has made one quality start, and his ERA on the road is 10.66 compared to 2.26 at home.
Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, going 10/37 in his last 10 games with three homers and eight RBIs. He also comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak. This season, Nimmo is batting just .229, but his 25 RBIs are the best mark on the team.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Their home and road splits are pretty drastic, as they are averaging 5.5 runs per game on the road, but just 3.6 at home. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best batting average.