Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/7/24

At 7:40 PM from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have an interleague matchup between the Brewers and Royals. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Brewers are 20-14, while the Royals are 21-15. Seth Lugo is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Colin Rea for the Brewers.
The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Royals are the favorites on the money line at -133. Looking at the money line odds for the Brewers, they are sitting at +112. You can catch this one on BSWI.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -133
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, May 7th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a three-run 7th inning for the Royals’ offense, they picked up a 3-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -137 on the money line.
Kansas City got to Brewers starter Bryse Wilson, who gave up two earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. As for the Royals, Cole Ragans put together a good outing, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
At the plate, the Royals were led by Michael Massey and Maikel Garcia, as they were the only two Royals hitters to have more than one hit. Massey also homered in the game.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is on the road today vs. the Royals, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies. Currently, the Brewers are 20-14 overall, putting them in a tie with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. This season, they have gone 8-5 in divisional games.
The Brewers have been good on the road this year, coming in with a mark of 13-7. As for their record at home, it is currently 7-7. So far, they have been really good as the road underdog, going 9-4 this year. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 6-3-2, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 13-7. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.5, and they have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog.
After a stretch of games with low over/under lines, the Milwaukee Brewers have seen the over/under line set at 9 runs for the first time this season. The Brewers have played to the under in two straight games, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. Overall, the Brewers have played to the under in 19 of their 34 games this season.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-0 with a 2.67 ERA. Rea’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and he has made two quality starts. In his most recent outing, Rea picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Rea has yet to lose on the road, coming in with a record of 1-0 and 2.19 ERA.
William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, batting .328 with five home runs and 27 RBIs. He is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Christian Yelich has also been a big part of the Brewers’ offense, hitting .333 with five homers. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have also been swinging the bat well, as they both have six homers.
As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 6th best team batting average in the league.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 21-15 overall and is 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals host the Brewers today and are 8-5 against other teams in the AL Central. This season, they have gone 14-7 at home compared to 7-8 on the road.
As the home favorite, the Royals are 6-2 this year and 8-4 overall as the favorite. They have a series record of 5-6 heading into today’s game, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.
The Royals have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 23-13 overall. They have been particularly good at home, going 13-8 on the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.2 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 17-7, compared to 6-6 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +4.2 runs per game, while it drops to -2.9 runs per game in losses.
The Kansas City Royals have had an over/under record of 11-23 this season, and their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 1-4, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. So far this season, only 8.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher. Their last two games have gone under the total, and their last game against the Brewers went under the total as well.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today and has been pitching well this season. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 5-1. Lugo’s ERA for the season is an impressive 1.60, along with a WHIP of 1.02. In his 45 innings of work, Lugo has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Lugo picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Lugo has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 0.43.
Michael Massey has been on a tear for the Royals, going 9/22 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. He also comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak. Massey’s recent surge has been a big boost to the Royals, as he has been one of the team’s few power threats this season. Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have also been solid at the plate, with Perez batting .328 and Witt Jr. at .314.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging five runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best batting average.