San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 5/6/24

Two National League teams will face off at Wrigley Field on Monday night, with first pitch for this Padres and Cubs matchup set for 7:40 PM ET. The forecast from Chicago calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. San Diego is 18-19 so far, and the Cubs are 21-14.

Yu Darvish is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Justin Steele for the Cubs. Chicago comes into this one as the slight favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7 runs.

CHICAGO CUBS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -121

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, May 6th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS CUBS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with an 11-4 loss. San Diego was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the first.

Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up seven earned runs. Offensively, the Padres scored their four runs on json12 hits and a homer from Jackson Merrill. However, Merrill was the only Padres hitter to have more than one hit.

San Diego is 18-19 overall and trails the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are coming off a series win over the Diamondbacks and have an NL West division record of 10-9. This season, they are 8-12 at home compared to a mark of 10-7 on the road.

As the favorite, the Padres have gone 12-11 this year and 4-3 as the favorite on the road. San Diego’s overall series record is 6-5-2, and they have won two straight series.

When the Padres are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 13-4. Their average run differential on the road is +1.5 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 9-5 against the run line, compared to 10-13 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 19-18.

San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 20-16, and the average line for their games has been 8 runs. The over has hit in two straight games, and the Padres’ games have averaged 9.8 runs per game this season. Their game against the Diamondbacks on May 25th had 15 runs, and the game on May 24th had 14 runs. Their game against the Rockies on May 12th had 19 runs, and their game against the Phillies on May 29th had 14 runs. Their game against the Reds on May 19th had 10 runs, and their game against the Reds on May 18th had 8 runs. Their game against the Phillies on May 27th had 12 runs, and their game against the Reds on May 17th had 7 runs. Their game against the Diamondbacks on May 26th had 8 runs, and their game against the Phillies on May 28th had 6 runs.

Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 3.45. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run to the Reds. Darvish has made one appearance on the road, where he has a 5.40 ERA. His ERA at home is 3.53. So far, he has turned in one quality start this season.

San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest.

Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar have been swinging the bat well for the Padres, with Cronenworth batting .333 over his last six games with two homers and six RBIs. Profar has also gone deep twice in his last six games while going 12/23. Cronenworth’s nine-game hitting streak is the longest current streak for the Padres. For the season, Cronenworth is hitting .278 with six homers, and his 25 RBIs are the best mark on the team.

Cubs Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Cubs closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +117 on the money line. It was a three-run 5th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Brewers could only score a total of four hits.

Javier Assad put together a good start for the Cubs, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out four Brewers batters. Dansby Swanson was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Chicago is 21-14 overall this season and are on a two-game winning streak. The Cubs will be hosting the Padres today, and they are 12-4 at home this year compared to 9-10 on the road. Currently, they are tied with the Brewers for the NL Central lead.

As the underdog, the Cubs have gone 12-10 this year and are 9-4 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Cubs are 6-3-2, and they took their most recent series vs. the Brewers. Chicago’s overall record in the NL Central is 2-1.

Chicago has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 23-12 overall. They are 10-6 against the run line at home and 13-6 on the road. They have been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 17-5. Their average run differential is +.5 runs per game, and they have a run differential of +2.3 runs per game at home.

The Cubs have played 34 games this season, and 30 of them have had over/under lines set above 7 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 15-19 overall. When the line has been set at 7 runs, the Cubs have gone 0-4 in those games.

Justin Steele is getting the start for the Cubs at home against the Padres. He started the season with a no-decision on the road against the Rangers, where he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Steele struck out 6 in that outing.

Chicago’s offense has been one of the league’s best home teams this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game at Wrigley Field. Overall, they are 9th in the league at 4.8 runs per contest. The Cubs have been a good home run hitting team so far and have been patient at the plate, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Christopher Morel has been one of the league’s top power threats so far, as his seven home runs are 4th best in the league. However, he is batting just .220 overall. Morel has gone deep three times over his last six games and has gone 5/19 (.263) in that stretch. Nico Hoerner comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is 8/24 in his last six games.