Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24

At 2:20 PM from Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have an NL Central matchup between the Brewers and Cubs. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Brewers have a record of 20-12, while the Cubs are 20-14 overall. Starting for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, and he is facing off against Javier Assad for the Cubs.

Milwaukee is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 6.5 runs. Looking at the forecast, it looks like there will be scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid-50s.

CHICAGO CUBS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline +104

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Sunday, May 5th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CUBS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Chicago picked up a 6-5 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Brewers could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were favored at -132 on the money line.

Jameson Taillon started for the Cubs and went six innings while giving up just two hits and no earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Taillon got the win in the game, while Hector Neris closed things out.

Tobias Myers had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss after going just three innings and giving up four earned runs on three hits. He did finish the game with two strikeouts.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Cubs, with the Brewers leading the NL Central and holding a one-game lead over the Cubs. So far, the Brewers are 8-4 in divisional games and are 20-12 overall. They have been good on the road this year, putting up a record of 13-5.

The Brewers have an overall series record of 6-2-2 this year, and they are 4-2 as the road favorite. Milwaukee has been really good in day games this season, going 12-4. As the favorite, the Brewers are 9-5 this year, and they are 11-7 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Brewers have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.

The Brewers are 16-16 vs. the run line this season, but they have been much better on the road, going 12-6. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have a run differential of +2.1 runs per game away from home. They are 4-10 vs. the run line at home this season and have an average run differential of -0.9 runs per game in Milwaukee.

The Milwaukee Brewers have had a high over/under line in their games this season, with 96.9% of their games having lines higher than 6.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 19-13. Today’s over/under line is set at 6.5 runs, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. Their last game against the Cubs had a combined 11 runs, going over the 8.5-run line.

Milwaukee is sending Freddy Peralta to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 3-0 and ERA of 3.21. Peralta has made six starts this year and has three quality starts. In his most recent outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had gone two straight outings without giving up a run. Peralta has been pitching well lately, as he has allowed just two earned runs in each of his last three outings. His WHIP for the season is .86, and opponents are batting .168 off the right-hander.

William Contreras has been on a tear of late for the Brewers, going 5/20 in his last five games with three runs scored and five RBIs. He also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Contreras has been a force in the lineup all season, batting .336 with five homers and 27 RBIs. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also tied for the team lead with six homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and are among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Cubs Records & Stats

With an overall record of 20-14, the Cubs trail the Brewers by just one game for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-1 in divisional games. Chicago is at home today, where they are 11-4 this year, and they are just above .500 at 9-10 on the road.

The Cubs have an overall series record of 5-3-2 this year, and they have dropped two straight games as the underdog. As the underdog at home, the Cubs are 5-1 this season. Chicago’s record is 9-4 when favored and 11-10 when going into the game as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Cubs are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

The Cubs have been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 22-12 overall. They have been even better at home, going 9-6 against the run line. The Cubs have been a good bet on the run line as the underdog, going 16-5. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2 runs per game.

The Chicago Cubs have played 34 games this season, and every single one of them has had an over/under line set higher than 6.5 runs. The Cubs’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 15-18. In their most recent game, the Cubs and Brewers combined for 11 runs, going over the 8.5-run line set for the game.

Through six starts, Javier Assad has a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 1.97 for the Cubs. He has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Mets, he gave up five hits, didn’t walk a batter, and didn’t allow a homer. Assad has made three starts at home and three on the road. His ERA at home is 1.17, compared to 2.86 on the road. Opponents are batting .207 off Assad this season.

So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 13th in the league, and have the 8th most home runs in the league. Nico Hoerner and Michael Busch have been two of the Cubs’ top hitters this season, with Hoerner batting .286 and Busch at .270. Busch’s 18 RBIs are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league.

Christopher Morel comes into the game with a team-high 7 homers, but he is batting just .213 for the season. Morel has gone deep four times in his last six games, but he is just 5/22 over that stretch. Nico Hoerner has gone 7/23 in his last six games and is currently on a four-game hitting streak.