Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/3/24
Two of the top teams in the National League will square off at Dodger Stadium on Friday night, with first pitch for this Braves and Dodgers matchup set for 10:10 PM ET. The forecast from Los Angeles calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Atlanta is currently 20-9 this season, and the Dodgers are 20-13.
MLB Network is handling TV coverage for Friday night’s game, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. Gavin Stone is starting for the Dodgers, and he is facing off against Charlie Morton for the Braves.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -115
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 ET on Friday, May 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Dodgers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Mariners in the bottom of the first, the Braves responded with a run of their own. Atlanta’s offense really broke things open with a four-run 4th inning. Heading into the game, the Braves were the heavy favorite at -186.
Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Mariners batters. Atlanta’s bullpen closed things out with Raisel Iglesias picking up the save.
With an overall record of 20-9, the Braves lead the NL East by a half-game over the Phillies and lost their previous series vs. the Mariners. So far, they have gone 8-4 against other teams in the NL East. Atlanta has been really good at home this year, going 11-4, and they have also been solid on the road, coming in with a record of 9-5.
As the favorite, the Braves have gone a perfect 20-9 this year, and they have not been the underdog yet. So far, their overall series record is 7-2-1, and they kick off their series vs. the Dodgers on the road today.
When the Atlanta Braves are the favorite, they have a run line record of 14-15, and their average run margin is 1.7 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road this season, with an 8-6 record and a scoring margin of 2.6 runs per game. The Braves have a run line record of 6-9 at home, where their scoring margin is just 0.7 runs per game. In their wins, the Braves have an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game, while in their losses, they have an average run margin of -2.8 runs per game.
Atlanta’s over/under record is 11-16, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Dodgers is set at 9.5 runs. The Braves have had 3 games with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs, and their record in those games is 3-4. Their last 9 games have all gone under the total, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs.
Charlie Morton and the Braves are on the road to take on the Dodgers today. Morton has started 3 games this season, with his most recent outing being a win against the Rangers. He has yet to have a decision on the road, but he went 5 2/3 innings in his last start, giving up 6 runs on 7 hits.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top run producer this season, as his 32 RBIs are the best in the league. He is also 2nd in the league with nine home runs and comes into the game with a batting average of .321. Ozuna has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/23 in his last seven games. Michael Harris II has also been a key contributor for the Braves, as he is batting .294 for the season and has 13 RBIs.
As a team, the Braves are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best-hitting teams, with a team batting average of .266. Atlanta also comes into the game with the league’s best BABIP.
Dodgers Records & Stats
The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks, closing out their series with an 8-0 win. After scoring five times in the 2nd inning, the Dodgers added another three runs in the 3rd to really put things out of reach. Los Angeles went on to close out the series with a 8-0 win. Leading up to the game, the Dodgers were the heavy favorite at -144.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto put together a good start for the Dodgers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Diamondbacks batters. The Dodgers’s offense was carried by Andy Pages, who went 1/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Los Angeles will host the Braves with an overall record of 20-13, good for 1st place in the NL West. They currently lead the division by 4.5 games over the Padres and are 7-4 against other teams in the NL West. The Dodgers have been really good on the road this year, going 11-5, and they are just above .500 at home at 9-8.
So far, the Dodgers have been really good in night games, going 13-5 this season. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 20-12 but have yet to win a game as the underdog this year. Los Angeles has won three straight series and have an overall series record of 7-5.
When betting the run line with the Dodgers this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 16-17 overall, but just 6-11 at home. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have covered the run line more often away from Dodger Stadium, going 10-6 compared to 6-11 at home. They have covered the run line in 16 of 32 games as the favorite, but are 0-1 as the underdog.
So far this season, the Dodgers have played 33 games with an average combined run total of 9.2. Their over/under record is 19-14, and their average over/under line is 9.0. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, they are 2-2. Their games have gone over the line in just 9.1% of their games, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Gavin Stone is getting the start for the Dodgers at home against the Braves. So far this season, Stone has a 1-0 record, and he’s coming off a 7-inning outing in which he picked up a win over the Blue Jays. He has 11 strikeouts in 16 innings of work on the year.
Los Angeles comes into today’s game as the league’s top-scoring team, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. Not only are the Dodgers the top-scoring team in the league, but they also have the best team batting average in the league at .271.
Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani have been two of the league’s best hitters so far this season. Betts is batting .377 with a team-high 25 RBIs, while Ohtani is hitting .336 with a team-high seven home runs. Ohtani’s seven homers is 4th in the league, and Betts’ 25 RBIs is 4th in the majors. Will Smith is just 4/17 in his last four games but does have a two-game home run streak.