Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Betting Pick & Prediction 5/3/24
Looking to win big? The Stars and Golden Knights face off at 10:00 ET on TNT. The Golden Knights are hosting the game at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. The Stars are favored by -1.5 in a Western conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 5.5 goals.
DALLAS STARS VS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Vegas Golden Knights +1.5
This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena at 10:00 ET on Friday, May 3rd.
WHY BET THE VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS:
- Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Golden Knights.
- We like the Golden Knights on the moneyline (-106)
- The Golden Knights are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Can Dallas Stun the Crowd at T-Mobile Arena?
As the top team in the Western Conference, the Dallas Stars have been favored in 71 of their 82 games, including each of their last two games. Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone 7-3, and they have won each of their last two games as the favorite. On the road this season, Dallas is 26-10-5, and they have gone 34-16 against other Western Conference teams.
Over their last five games, the Stars have gone 3-2, and they have won each of their last three games. This season, Dallas has gone 52-21-9 overall, and they have gone 47-17-7 as the favorite. In the Central Division, the Stars have a 17-9 record, and they have won each of their last two games as the favorite.
When favored this year, the Stars have gone 27-44 on the puck line, and they have gone 36-46 overall. So far, Dallas has 29 wins by multiple goals and has gone 23-17 in games decided by one goal. The Stars’ average scoring differential on the road this year is +.8 goals per game.
On the road, Dallas has gone 22-19 on the puck line, and over their last ten road games, their puck line record is 8-2. In their last ten games, the Stars have gone just 3-7 against the puck line.
On average, Dallas’ games have finished with 6.5 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.2. In total, the Stars come in with an over/under record of 42-39-1.
The Stars are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
On offense, the Stars are averaging 3.6 goals per game which is 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 11th in the league. Dallas’ offense comes into the game ranked 11th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 2nd in the NHL.
The leading scorer for Dallas’ offense is Wyatt Johnston. Coming into the game he has 32 goals, ranking 34th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 33 assists so far.
Defensively, the Golden Knights come into the season ranked 13th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.2 shots per game against Vegas. For the season, they are ranked 23rd in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Vegas, goalie Jake Oettinger has started 53 games in this season. His current record is 35-14, and his save percentage stands at 0.888%.
Can the Golden Knights Pull Off a Home Win?
At home this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have gone 27-12-2 and have been the underdog in 28 of their 82 games, going 14-10-4 in those matchups. In their last 10 games, Vegas has gone 5-5 and has lost their last two games as the underdog. Overall, the Golden Knights enter this game with a record of 45-29-8, which puts them in 4th place in the Pacific Division and 8th in the Western Conference.
In games against teams from the Western Conference, Vegas has gone 30-20 on the year. Over their last five games, the Golden Knights have gone 2-3, and they have gone 0-3 in their last three games. For the season, Vegas has been favored in 54 games and has gone 31-19-4 in those matchups.
On the season, the Golden Knights have gone 41-41 against the puck line, including going 22-19 at home. So far, they have 28 wins by multiple goals and have gone 20-34 against the puck line as the favorite.
Over their last ten games at home, Vegas has gone 6-4 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin at home this year is +.8 goals per game. So far, the team’s overall average scoring margin is +.3 goals per game.
On average, Vegas’ games have finished with 6.2 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.1. In total, the Golden Knights come in with an over/under record of 40-42-0.
In their last three road games, Dallas has averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
For their offensive performance, the Golden Knights come in averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, which is 13th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 13th in the league. This season, the Golden Knights have a 24-16 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 19-13 record.
The leading scorer for Vegas’ offense is Jonathan Marchessault. Coming into the game he has 42 goals, ranking 13th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Marchessault has 27 assists this season.
The Golden Knights defense is currently 13th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.2 shots per game against Vegas. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 23rd with 3 shutouts.
Goalie Logan Thompson gets the start and has made 42 starts this season. His record at this point is 25-14, and his save percentage is 0.784%.