Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 5/2/24

At 8:10 PM from Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have an American League matchup between the Guardians and Astros. Cleveland comes in with a record of 20-10, while the Astros are just 10-20. Spencer Arrighetti will start for the Astros, and he is facing off against Logan Allen for the Guardians.

Currently, the over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Astros are the betting favorite at -133. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by MLB Network.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -133

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Thursday, May 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cleveland picked up a 3-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run 5th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 10th. As for the Astros, they scored one run in the 6th and tied the game with a run in the 7th.

Triston McKenzie started for the Guardians and went seven innings while giving up two runs and striking out six. He picked up a win in the game, while Emmanuel Clase got the save. Justin Verlander put together a good outing for the Astros, going seven innings and striking out two.

At the plate, Cleveland’s top three hitters – Will Brennan, Steven Kwan, and David Fry – each had two hits and scored a run. Kyle Tucker hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is on the road today vs. the Astros, and they lead the AL Central by two games over the Royals. So far, the Guardians have gone 4-1 in divisional games, and they are 20-10 overall. The Guardians have been really good on the road this year, putting together a record of 12-6.

The Guardians have been playing well in day games this year, going 10-3, and they are 8-4 at home. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 11-5, and they are 9-5 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 7-2, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 21-9 on the season. They have been particularly good against the run line as the underdog, going 12-2. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, and they have covered the run line in four straight games.

Despite the Cleveland Guardians’ games averaging 8.8 runs per game this season, their over/under record sits at 16-12. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and only one of their games had a line of 9.5 runs. In that game, the final score was 5 runs, coming in under the line. Overall, 96.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9.5-run line.

Through six starts, Logan Allen has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 5.46. Looking at his overall numbers, Allen has a WHIP of 1.40 and has issued 3.16 walks per nine innings compared to 7.47 strikeouts. So far, he has made one quality start and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had not allowed a homer in three straight starts. Allen has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 4.37 compared to 7.56 at home.

Steven Kwan has been swinging a hot bat for the Guardians, going 11/28 in his last seven games with a home run and four RBIs. His .360 batting average for the season is the best mark on the team, and he is also 2nd on the team in on-base percentage. Kwan’s three homers is 4th on the team. Josh Naylor and José Ramírez are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 24, and Naylor’s seven homers is the best mark on the team and 4th in the league.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league. Cleveland comes into the game with the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston hosts the Guardians with an overall record of 10-20, putting them 5th in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by 6.5 games in the division. The Astros are 4-3 against other teams in the AL West this season.

So far, the Astros are just 5-10 both at home and on the road. They have really struggled in day games, going 3-8 this year. As the favorite, the Astros are 8-17 and 2-3 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 3-5-1, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Despite being a below-average team in terms of run differential, the Astros have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 10-20 overall. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 3-2 against the run line. However, they have struggled as the favorite, going just 7-18. Their average run differential in winning games is +5.2, while it is -3.7 in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is the lowest of the season for the Astros, whose games have averaged 9.7 runs. This season, the over/under record for Houston’s games is 9-19, and the average line has been 10 runs. The Astros have played just five games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs, and the under has hit in four of those contests.

Spencer Arrighetti is getting the start for the Astros at home against the Cleveland Guardians. Arrighetti has had a rough start to the season, as he has taken the loss in each of his first 3 starts. He has given up 7 runs in each of his last 2 starts, and he has yet to make it through 5 innings in a start this year.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are batting .263 as a team, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They are also one of the league’s best home run hitting teams and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. At home, they have been a bit better, averaging 4.9 runs per game.

Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, with Tucker’s 8 homers being the best mark on the team and Alvarez right behind him with 7. Tucker is also 8th in the league with 21 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Tucker is batting .378 with three homers. Jose Altuve has gone deep seven times this season and is batting .341 overall.