Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/1/24

The Rays and Brewers are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 1:10 PM ET on Wednesday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and features a Rays club that is 14-17 vs. the Brewers at 18-11. Tampa Bay is sending Zach Eflin to the mound vs. Colin Rea for the Brewers.

Right now, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Rays are the favorite on the money line at -128. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSWI.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +107

This game will be played at American Family Field at 1:10 ET on Wednesday, May 1st.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Rays by a score of 8-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Rays and struck out 13 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -182 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Tyler Alexander for the Rays. Peralta only went 5 1/3 innings but gave up just one hit and two earned runs. On the other side, Alexander was tagged for three homers and six runs in four innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Brice Turang. Adames, Tyler Black, and Joey Wiemer each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

Rays Records & Stats

Tampa Bay is on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they trail the Blue Jays by one game for 4th place in the AL East. Overall, the Rays are 14-17, putting them six games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. The Rays dropped the first game of this series vs. the Brewers after taking the final game of their series vs. the White Sox.

So far, the Rays are just under .500 at home, going 8-9. On the road, they are 6-8 this season. As the favorite, the Rays are 10-13 this season and 4-4 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have dropped three straight series.

When the Tampa Bay Rays are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 6-8 against the run line. They have an average run margin of -1.1 on the road, and their average run margin in losing games is -4.1.

The Tampa Bay Rays have played 31 games this season, and the over has hit in 18 of them. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and the over/under line for their games this season has been set at an average of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 6-7 in those games. The over has hit in five of the 31 games they’ve played this season when the line was set at 8.5 runs.

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.08. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. Looking back at his last outing, Eflin took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work to the White Sox. He has allowed at least one home run in three of his last four outings. One positive note is that Eflin has turned in three quality starts this year. His ERA on the road is 5.0 compared to 3.65 at home.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, also averaging 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 11th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just 15th in the league.

Isaac Paredes comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .291 for the season. He has gone 12/34 in his last eight games, including two home runs. Paredes’ seven homers this season is 4th in the league and leads the Rays. Randy Arozarena is also among the league leaders in homers but is batting just .143 for the season and .103 in his last eight games.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 18-11, good for 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers hold a half-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they have gone 7-3 in divisional matchups. The Brewers closed out April with a win over the Rays and are looking to keep it going today.

At home, the Brewers are just 6-7 this year, but they have been excellent on the road at 12-4. Milwaukee has been really good in day games this year, going 11-4. As the underdog, the Brewers are 9-6 this year and 9-5 as the favorite. The team’s overall series record is 5-2-2 and they have dropped two straight series at home.

The Brewers have been a better bet on the run line on the road this season, going 10-6 compared to 3-10 at home. Their average run margin is -1.4 at home and +2.3 on the road. They’ve been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 9-6 compared to 4-10 as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played 29 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 16.9% of them. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 18-11. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-4.

Colin Rea is getting the start for the Brewers at home against the Rays. He has started 3 games so far this season, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 5 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks. Rea has yet to pick up a loss, as he has a win and 2 no-decisions.

William Contreras has been a huge part of the Brewers’ offense so far this season, as he is batting .345 and has driven in 23 runs, which is 6th in the league. He is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 7/24 in his last six games. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich have also been big power threats for the Brewers, as they both have five homers this season.

Overall, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. As a team, Milwaukee is batting .257, which is 4th in the league, and they have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.