Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/1/24

The Twins head into Wednesday’s matchup vs. the White Sox looking to complete the sweep, as they have won the first two games of this series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 2:10 PM ET. Chris Flexen will start for the White Sox, while the Twins are sending Bailey Ober to the mound.

Minnesota is the heavy favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Looking at the standings, the Twins are 16-13, and the White Sox are just 6-24.

CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago White Sox Moneyline +168

This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 2:10 ET on Wednesday, May 1st.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS WHITE SOX:

• We have the White Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the White Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a close game in the most recent game of this Twins vs White Sox series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -183 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Chicago had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another in the 9th, but Jhoan Duran closed things out for the Twins.

Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for Minnesota, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out two. Caleb Thielbar got the win out of the bullpen. Michael Soroka only went 4 1/3 innings for the White Sox, giving up two earned runs on three hits.

Trevor Larnach had a two-hit game for the Twins, scoring a run and driving in a run. Danny Mendick did the same for the White Sox, hitting a home run and driving in two runs.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota’s win streak is up to nine games, and they have taken the first game of this series vs. the White Sox. Currently, they are 4th in the AL Central, three games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 11-7 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Twins are just 6-6 this year, but they have been much better on the road at 10-7. As the road favorite, the Twins have gone 9-1 this year, and they are 14-5 when favored overall. As for their record as the underdog, they are just 2-8. Minnesota’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have won two straight series.

Minnesota has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 14-15 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 10-7 vs. the run line. The Twins have been a favorite in 19 games this season and have gone 10-9 vs. the run line in those contests.

Minnesota’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 14-14. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and the Twins have gone 2-7 in games with that line this season. In total, 55.2% of their games have had lower lines than today’s, and their games have gone over the line in 45.5% of their games this season.

Bailey Ober will be making his 4th start of the season for the Twins, and it will be his 3rd on the road. He has been solid in his first two outings, going 6 innings in each and picking up a win in both. In his last start, he went 7 1/3 innings and struck out 8, giving up 3 runs on 3 hits.

Carlos Santana has been hot of late for the Twins, batting .286 over his last seven games with four homers. Willi Castro is also swinging a hot bat, going 13/30 in his last seven games. Castro also has a seven-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Overall, he is batting .433 in this stretch.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Minnesota is 9th in the league in home runs and have the 3rd best isolated power mark in the league. Ryan Jeffers is batting .295 for the Twins this season and is 6th in the league with 17 RBIs.

White Sox Records & Stats

With a record of 6-24, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 13.5 games. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-17. Chicago has dropped two straight games, and they are coming off being swept in a four-game series by the Twins.

Chicago has really struggled at home, going 5-11 compared to 1-13 on the road. As the underdog, the White Sox are 6-24 this year, and they have yet to be the favorite in a game. So far, they are 2-11 in day games and 4-13 in night games. The White Sox’ overall series record is 1-7-1.

The Chicago White Sox have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 14-16. They have been especially good at home, where they are 10-6 against the run line. Their average run margin is -2.6 runs per game, but they have been able to cover the run line in five straight games at home. As the underdog, they are 14-16 against the run line.

When the White Sox and Twins have met this season, the games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. The over/under record for the White Sox this season is 14-15, and their games have averaged a combined 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the White Sox have gone 4-5 in those games. So far this season, 23.3% of the White Sox games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Right-hander Chris Flexen gets the start for the White Sox today vs. the Twins and has made four starts this year. His only quality start came in his most recent outing, where he went five innings vs. the Rays and didn’t give up a run. Flexen’s ERA for the season is 5.11, along with a record of 1-3. So far, he has allowed four homers and is averaging 4.74 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking at his walk numbers, Flexen is giving up 3.65 per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 9.52.

So far this season, the White Sox are averaging just 2.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also the worst home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s worst team slugging percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .212.

Andrew Benintendi and Eloy Jiménez come into the game swinging hot bats, with Benintendi hitting .333 over his last eight games with three homers, and Jiménez has gone 11/37 in his last nine games with two homers. Benintendi is currently on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, Benintendi is batting just .208, and Jiménez is at .239.