Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24

Game five of this Eastern Conference first-round series between the Pacers and Bucks is set for 9:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. The Pacers lead the series 3-1 and are favored by 4 points on the road. The over/under line is currently at 214.5 points, and the money line odds are -179 for Indiana and +148 for the Bucks. You can catch this game on TNT.

INDIANA PACERS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +4

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 9:30 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.

WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 111-110 in favor of the Bucks.
• Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 12 rebounds and 7 assists.
• From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.0% and knocking down 16 threes.

The Pacers took the most recent game of this series by a score of 126-113. Indiana was favored by 10 points at home and easily covered the spread, as they won by 13. The game also surpassed the over/under line of 214.5 points by 24.5 points.

Indiana had a big third quarter in this game, outscoring the Bucks 31-21. Myles Turner had a big game for the Pacers, knocking down seven threes and finishing with 29 points. As a team, the Pacers hit 22 threes and shot 51.2% from beyond the arc. The Bucks shot 36.4% from three and made 12 threes. Brook Lopez and Khris Middleton both had big games for the Bucks, with Lopez scoring 27 and Middleton adding 25.

Can Indiana Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

The Pacers are favored by 4 points today against the Bucks, and they have a record of 28-18 as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they have gone 22-24 against the spread, and they have won their last two games as the favorite.

In their most recent game, the Pacers beat the Bucks by a score of 126-113. Indiana was favored by 10 points in that game, and they improved their ATS record to 46-38 for the season.

This season, Indiana has an O/U record of 46-40, and the over has hit in each of their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 242.8 points per game, which is higher than today’s line of 214.5.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Pacers are currently in 6th place with a record of 47-35. Against other teams in the East, they are 32-20 compared to 15-15 against the West.

On the road, the Pacers have a straight-up record of 22-21 and are 23-19 ATS. Their average scoring differential on the road is -0.7 points per game.

Indiana comes into the game as the NBA’s top-scoring team, at 123.3 points per game. For the season, they have outscored the league average in 75.6% of their games. The Pacers’ scoring average on the road is 120.5 points per game. The Pacers have shot 50% from the field this season, which is the best mark in the league.

Pascal Siakam is averaging 26.2 points per game over his last five games while hitting 58.8% of his shots from the field. Myles Turner has hit 52.6% of his threes in his last five games and 25.6 points per game in that stretch. Tyrese Haliburton is questionable for the game, but for the season, he is averaging 10.9 assists and 20.1 points.

When it comes to defense, the Pacers have struggled this season, ranking 27th in the NBA at 119.9 points per game. On the road, they have been even worse, giving up 121.2 points per contest (28th).

Indiana has done a good job at defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.5% from beyond the arc (1st). However, they have given up a lot of free throws, ranking 30th in the league at 25.6 made free throws allowed per game.

Over their last five games, the Pacers have been better on defense, giving up 112.6 points per contest (18th). During that stretch, opponents have shot 46.6% from the field and 36.1% from three-point range.

Do the Bucks Have What it Takes at Home?

Today, the Bucks will be looking to avenge their most recent loss, which came against the Pacers. In that game, Indiana won by a score of 126-113, giving them the cover as 10-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was also 214.5, and the teams combined for 239 points.

Milwaukee’s O/U record for the season is 44-42, and they have gone over the total in each of their last three games. This year, their games have averaged a combined 235 points.

As the underdog, the Bucks have gone 5-13 straight-up and 8-10 against the spread. Today, they are getting 4 points and have gone 37-49 ATS for the season.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Bucks are currently in 3rd place with a record of 49-33. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 34-18 compared to 15-15 against the West.

On average, the Bucks are scoring 6 more points per game at home compared to their opponents. This season, they are 32-12 at home and 20-24 ATS. At home, their games have averaged a combined 233.8 points.

Coming into the game, the Bucks are the NBA’s 4th ranked scoring offense, at 119 points per game. Their scoring average at home is 120.6 points per contest. Milwaukee’s three-point shooting percentage of 37% is 7th best in the league. They are also 5th in both three-point attempts and makes.

Khris Middleton has averaged 24.4 points per game in his last five games on 48.9% shooting. Over this stretch, he has pulled down 7.6 rebounds and 5 assists. Brook Lopez is averaging 17 points per game in his last five games while hitting 2.2 threes per contest. Giannis Antetokounmpo is doubtful for the game with a calf injury. He is averaging 30.4 points and 11.5 rebounds this season. Damian Lillard is also doubtful for the game, averaging 24.3 points and 7 assists.

When it comes to points allowed per game, the Bucks are 21st in the league at 116.4. At home, they are 19th in the NBA at 114.6 points per contest. Over their last five games, Milwaukee has given up 115.8 points per game, which is 22nd in the league.

When it comes to three-point shooting, opponents are hitting 35.5% from beyond the arc against the Bucks, which is 13th. In terms of steals, Milwaukee is 28th at 6.8 per contest. They are 17th in blocked shots at 5 per game.

In terms of personal fouls, the Bucks are 10th in the league. On the season, opponents have made 21.4 free throws per game vs. Milwaukee, which is 13th.