Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24

The first-round series between the Magic and Cavaliers is all tied up at two games apiece heading into game five on Tuesday night. Tip-off is at 8:00 PM from Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. NBA Network is carrying the game on TV. The over/under line is sitting at 199.5 points, and the Cavaliers are favored by 4.5 points at home. On the money line, the Cavaliers are at -191 compared to the Magic at +158.

ORLANDO MAGIC VS CLEVELAND CAVALIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Orlando Magic +4.5

This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.

WHY BET THE ORLANDO MAGIC:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-108 in favor of the Cavaliers.
• Our projections have Donovan Mitchell finishing with Donovan Mitchell points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Cavaliers finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 16 threes.

Orlando picked up a 112-89 win in the most recent game of this series, easily covering the spread as 2.5-point favorites. The Magic got off to a slow start in the 1st quarter, but they outscored the Cavaliers 37-10 in the 3rd quarter to take control of the game. The 201 total points fell just short of the over/under line of 202 points.

Orlando’s defense was the story of this game, as they held the Cavaliers to just 47.2% shooting overall and only four made threes on 23.5% shooting. Franz Wagner had a big game for the Magic, finishing with 34 points and 13 rebounds. Wagner also shot 76.5% from the field and knocked down 66.7% of his threes.

Can Orlando Grab a Win on the Road?

Orlando is 18-25 on the road this season and are currently 17th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. In the East, they are 5th and have gone 32-20 against other teams in the conference.

The Magic have won their last two games and are 4.5-point underdogs today. As the underdog, they are 25-21 this season and have an ATS record of 23-20 on the road.

In their most recent game against the Cavaliers, Orlando won by a score of 112-89. The Magic were favored by 2.5 points going into the game, and the combined scoring total was 201 points.

This season, the average O/U line in Orlando’s games is 220.4 points, which is higher than today’s line of 199.5. Their games have averaged 217.6 points per game.

The Magic have an ATS record of 53-33 this season and have covered the spread in their last two games. Currently, their ATS record on the road is 23-20.

Orlando comes into the game as the league’s most frequent free-throw shooting team, averaging 25.7 attempts per game. However, they are also one of the league’s least efficient three-point shooting teams, ranking 30th in three-point makes per game. Overall, the Magic are averaging 110.5 points per game, which is 25th in the NBA.

Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner have each averaged 22.2 points per game over their last five games. Banchero’s season three-point shooting percentage is 32.1%, and he has averaged 1.8 made threes per game in his last five games. Wendell Carter Jr. has hit 37.4% of his threes this season and is averaging 1.2 made threes per contest.

When it comes to defense, the Orlando Magic have been one of the best units in the NBA this season. They come into tonight’s game against the Cleveland Cavaliers ranked 2nd in the league in points allowed per game at 107.6.

One of the reasons for their success has been their ability to defend the three-point line. On the year, they are 4th in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.2%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 2nd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 26.1%.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 74.4% of their games against the Magic. They have also done a good job at keeping teams off the free-throw line, ranking 20th in free throws made allowed per game at 22.1.

Are the Cavaliers Ready for a Home Win?

The Cavaliers are favored by 4.5 points today and have gone 39-16 as the favorite this season. Their ATS record as the favorite is 26-28, and they have covered the spread in their last two games as the favorite.

Cleveland’s O/U record for the season is 42-43-1, and their games have averaged 221.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 199.5, and all of their games have had higher over/under lines than that.

In their last game against the Magic, the Cavaliers lost by a score of 112-89. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game and are 11-20 as the underdog this season. Cleveland’s ATS record is 40-44, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games.

The Cavaliers are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 48-34. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Cavs are 31-21 compared to 17-13 in non-conference games.

Cleveland comes into the game as the NBA’s 23rd-ranked scoring team, at 112.6 points per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 113.7 points per contest on their home floor. The Cavaliers are also below average in terms of pace, averaging 97 possessions per game.

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 3.3 made threes per game this season but has hit just 25% of his threes in his last four games. Overall, he is shooting 36.8% from downtown. Jarrett Allen has hit 72.7% of his shots from the field over his last five games and is averaging 16.5 points and 10.5 rebounds for the season. Evan Mobley is averaging 15.7 points and 9.4 rebounds.

When it comes to defense, the Cavaliers have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are 7th in the NBA, allowing just 109.8 points per game. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 7th in the league at 104.4 points per game.

One area where the Cavs have been particularly strong is defending the three-point line. On the season, they are 10th in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed at 36.8%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 13th in the league at 35.2% from beyond the arc.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 65.9% of their games against Cleveland. In terms of made threes, opposing teams have made fewer threes than their season average in 59.8% of their games vs. the Cavs.