Los Angeles Angels vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24

At 1:40 from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an interleague matchup between the Angels and Reds. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Angels are 9-12, while the Reds come in with a record of 11-9. Los Angeles will be looking for a win on the road, as they are the underdog on the money line (+111).

Frankie Montas is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against Jose Soriano for the Angels. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and you can catch this one on BSW.

CINCINNATI REDS VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -133

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, April 21st.

HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Cincinnati picked up a 7-5 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Angels, they scored three of their five runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -121 on the money line.

Graham Ashcraft got the win for the Reds, going five innings and giving up five earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed one home run. Patrick Sandoval had a rough outing for the Angels, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up seven earned runs.

Miguel Sano hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Tyler Stephenson hit the go-ahead home run for the Reds in the 5th and finished with four RBIs.

Angels Records & Stats

As the Angels are on the road today vs. the Reds, they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they dropped the final three games of their series with the Rays. Currently, the Angels are in 3rd place in the AL West, 1.5 games behind the Mariners and have an overall record of 9-12.

So far, the Angels have been just below .500 on the road, with a 7-8 record, and they are 2-4 at home. Coming into today’s game, they have a series record of 1-4-1.

When the Angels win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +3.9. When they lose, they lose big. Their average run margin in losses is -4.1. They are 11-10 against the run line this season, including 10-5 on the road. They are 1-5 against the run line at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are 0-2 against the run line as the favorite this season.

Los Angeles Angels games have gone over the over/under line in 11 of their 21 games this season, including in two of the three games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 9 runs per game. They are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today, and the over/under line for the game is 9.5 runs.

Jose Soriano is getting the start for the Angels on the road against the Reds. This will be his 3rd start of the season, and he has yet to record a decision. His first start was a no-decision vs. the Orioles, and then he took a loss in his last outing vs. the Rays.

For the Angels, we have Mike Trout as our top home run hitter on the team, and his home run projection is 7th best in the league today. Taylor Ward has the 9th best home run projection in the league today, and he is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. Luis Rengifo is 16th in the league in terms of home run projections, and Logan O’Hoppe is 9th in the league in terms of home run projections.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati will be looking to move to two games above .500 today, as they come into the game with a record of 11-9. The Reds are on a two-game winning streak, taking the final two games of their series with the Angels. In the NL Central, they are 2.5 games behind the Brewers and are in 3rd place.

At home, the Reds are 6-5 this season and 5-4 on the road. They have been good in day games, going 7-3, and they have won five straight games as the favorite. Cincinnati is 8-4 when favored this season.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 10-10 overall. They have been especially good as the favorite, going 7-5 against the run line. Cincinnati’s average run margin in winning games is +4.4, while it’s -3.3 in losses.

When the Reds play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average in their games is 10.0, and their over/under record is 13-7. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 8 of their 9 games. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs in just 5% of their games this season.

Frankie Montas and the Reds are taking on the Angels at home today. Montas has started 2 games this season, and he has a win and a loss. His last outing was a loss to the Mariners, where he went 2 innings and gave up 5 runs. Montas has 10 strikeouts in 13 innings this season.

Our model has Christian Encarnacion-Strand as our top Reds hitter today, with his home run projection being 6th best in today’s slate of games. Jake Fraley, who has the 12th best home run projection in the league today, is our 2nd best Reds hitter. Will Benson is 12th in the league in terms of home run projections today.