Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24
This article was published on Apr 21, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

At 1:35 PM from Nationals Park in Washington, we have an interleague matchup between the Astros and Nationals. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Astros are 7-15, while the Nationals are 9-11. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Astros are the favorite on the money line at -196.
Looking at the starting pitching matchup, we have Cristian Javier going for the Astros and Mitchell Parker for the Nationals. You can catch this one on TV on MASN.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +161
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, April 21st.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Washington picked up a 5-4 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 9th to pick up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +150 on the money line.
Trevor Williams got the start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but did not issue a walk. Kyle Finnegan got the win out of the bullpen, and Seth Martinez took the loss for Houston.
CJ Abrams and Joey Meneses each homered for the Nationals, while Yordan Alvarez went deep for the Astros. Abrams, Meneses, and Jesse Winker each had two hits and two RBIs for Washington’s offense.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros are currently on the road and are looking to improve upon their overall record of 7-15. In the AL West, they are in 5th place and four games behind the Rangers. So far, they have been the favorite in 17 of their games and have gone 5-12 in those matchups.
At home, the Astros have gone 4-9 compared to 3-6 on the road. They are also under .500 for their series record at 2-3-1. Coming into today’s game, they had lost four straight series.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run differential of 5.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. That has led to a run line record of 8-14 on the season, including a 3-6 mark on the road. They have been the favorite in 17 of their 22 games, going 5-12 in those contests.
When the Houston Astros play on the road, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 45.5% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 8-12. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 3-3-1.
Cristian Javier and the Astros are on the road to take on the Nationals. Javier has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in each. He went 7 innings in his last start, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 5. Javier has yet to give up a home run this season.
Looking at the Astros’ player projections for today, we see that Jose Altuve has the 8th highest total hits projection in the league, and his home run projection is 6th best in the league. Yordan Alvarez has the top home run projection for the Astros and 3rd best in the league. If you’re looking for a long shot to hit a home run, Yainer Diaz has the 6th best odds in today’s games.
Nationals Records & Stats
With a record of 9-11, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, 5.5 games behind the Braves. The Nationals head into today’s game, having lost their series vs the Astros. So far, they are 3-5 at home and have been just above .500 at 6-6 on the road.
When favored, the Nationals are 1-1 this season and 8-10 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 2-4, and they have lost two straight series at home.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 12-8 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 9-3 against the run line. The Nationals have been a slight underdog in most of their games, going 11-7 against the run line when getting points. They have a negative run differential on the season, but they have been able to cover the run line in their wins, as their average run differential in victories is +2.2 runs per game.
The Washington Nationals have played 19 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for 15 of those games. Their over/under record for the season is 8-11, and their combined run average for the season is 8.2 runs per game. Their games have gone over the line 6 times, under the line 14 times, and pushed once.
Mitchell Parker will be making his second start of the season for the Nationals, and this time he’ll be at home facing the Astros. In his first outing, Parker got the win against the Dodgers, going 5 innings and giving up 2 earned runs on 4 hits.
If you are looking for some Nationals players to bet on in terms of player props, we have a few Joey Gallo, Lane Thomas, and CJ Abrams options. Gallo has the 9th highest total hits projection on the team, but he has the highest home run projection on the team and 10th best in the league today. Lane Thomas has the 4th highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 10th best in the league today. CJ Abrams has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 11th best in the league today.
