Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24

At 1:35 PM from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, we have an interleague matchup between the Red Sox and Pirates. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Red Sox are 12-10, while the Pirates come in with a record of 11-10. Boston is sending Josh Winckowski to the mound, and he is facing off against Martín Pérez for the Pirates.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Pirates are the favorite at -147 on the money line. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by NESN.

BOSTON RED SOX VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +123

This game will be played at PNC Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, April 21st.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS PIRATES:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston rallied for two runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Pirates series. The Red Sox scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 6th, picking up a 4-2 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +101 on the money line.

Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Mitch Keller, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Pirates. Kutter Crawford got the win for the Red Sox out of the bullpen, going six innings and giving up one earned run.

Offensively, the Red Sox were led by Masataka Yoshida, who went 3/4 with a home run. Connor Joe hit the game’s other home run for the Pirates, going 1/1.

Red Sox Records & Stats

The Red Sox are currently on a two-game winning streak, taking the final two games of their series with the Guardians. In the AL East, they are in 5th place, tied with the Rays and 2.5 games behind the Yankees. So far, they have been good on the road, putting together a record of 9-3.

At home, the Red Sox have gone just 3-7. This season, they are 7-4 as the favorite and 5-6 as the underdog. Their overall record is currently 12-10.

When the Boston Red Sox are on the road, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, going 10-2 this season. Their average run margin in road games is +2.9, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.8. They have covered the run line in their last five road games and are 9-2 against the run line as the underdog this season.

When the Red Sox have played games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, the over has hit in seven of the eight games. Overall, the Red Sox are 10-11 on the over/under this season, with their games averaging 8.2 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.

Right-hander Josh Winckowski is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made seven appearances this season and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 4.63. Winckowski’s WHIP for the season is currently 2.06. Out of his 11 2/3 innings of work, he has pitched 3 innings out of the bullpen. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in one inning of work. Before that, he had three straight appearances in which he didn’t give up an earned run.

Our player prop projections for the Red Sox today have Triston Casas as our top home run hitter on the team and in the entire league. Connor Wong has the 3rd best odds to hit a home run for the Red Sox and his total hits projection is the 3rd best in the league today. Rafael Devers is 5th on the team and 10th in the league in terms of total hits.

Pirates Records & Stats

The Pirates are currently on a five-game losing streak and are just one game above .500 at 11-10. In the NL Central, they are in 4th place, three games behind the Brewers. So far, they have gone 8-6 on the road and 3-4 at home.

When favored, the Pirates are 2-4 this season and 9-6 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 3-1-2. At home, they are 1-3 as the favorite.

The Pirates have been a strong run line team this season, going 12-9 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 9-5 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 3-4 against the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 10-5 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in wins is +3.3, while it is -3.4 in losses.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have played 21 games this season, and their Over/Under record is 12-9. The average Over/Under line in their games is 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 9 runs. When the Over/Under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-4. They have had two games with Over/Under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and the percentage of their games with Over/Under lines set at 8.5 runs is 9.5%. Seven of their games have had Over/Under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, and the percentage of their games with Over/Under lines set lower than 8.5 runs is 33.3%.

Martín Pérez has been solid in his first three starts of the season, as he has yet to take a loss. He has gone at least 6 2/3 innings in each start and has struck out 19 batters. In his most recent outing, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 3 runs against the Mets.

When looking at the Pirates’ offensive projections today, we have Jack Suwinski as the top candidate to hit a home run, as his projection is 6th best in the league. Ke’Bryan Hayes has the 16th best hits projection in the league, and Bryan Reynolds is 9th in terms of home run projections. Rowdy Tellez is 8th in terms of home run projections today.