San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/15/24
At 7:40 PM ET, the Padres and Brewers will face off in an NL matchup. Monday night’s matchup is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, with the Brewers sending Joe Ross to the mound vs. Joe Musgrove for the Padres. San Diego is 9-9 so far, while the Brewers are 10-4.
Looking at the money line odds, the Padres are the slight favorite at -126, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSWI.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +105
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, April 15th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres are coming off a big 6-3 win over the Dodgers to close out their series. San Diego was the +138 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Padres, as they got on the board with a run in the 4th inning and added another three runs in the 6th.
Yu Darvish got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up three runs on four hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Manny Machado was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
With an overall record of 9-9, the Padres are in 3rd place in the NL West heading into today’s game vs. the Brewers. Both the Diamondbacks and Padres are currently two games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. San Diego has a series record of 3-3-1 this season.
When playing at home, the Padres are 5-6, and they are just above .500 on the road at 4-3. Coming into today’s game, San Diego has won two straight games as the series with the Dodgers.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 6-1. Their average run margin in road games is +1.0, and their overall run line record is 9-9. The Padres have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 6-2, compared to 3-7 as the favorite.
San Diego’s games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season, but the over/under line for their games has been set at 8.5 runs just seven times this year. Their over/under record for the season is 9-8, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over four times and under three times.
Joe Musgrove will be making his 2nd road start of the season for the Padres, as he will be taking on the Brewers. Musgrove has a win and a loss in his two starts this season, with his most recent outing being a loss to the Cubs. In that game, he went 4 innings, giving up 4 runs on 5 hits and struck out 5.
For the Padres, we have Xander Bogaerts as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His individual hits projection is 25th best in the league today. Manny Machado has the highest home run projection on the team and it is 13th best in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is right behind him in terms of home run projections, and his total hits projection is 4th on the team. Luis Campusano is our 2nd best hitter in terms of total hits and home run projections.
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. Milwaukee was the +185 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Colin Rea got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. Blake Perkins was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Brewers also had three other players with two hits.
Milwaukee will be closing out their series vs. the Padres today, as they currently lead the series 2-1. Overall, the Brewers are 10-4 and are in 2nd place in the NL Central, tied with the Pirates. So far, they have yet to lose a series (4-0-1).
The Brewers have been good on the road this season, putting together a record of 7-2. At home, they are just above .500 at 3-2. Coming into today’s game, they have been the favorite 6 times (4-2) and the underdog 8 times (6-2).
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. That’s helped them to an 8-6 run line record, but they’ve been a better bet on the road, where they’re 7-2 vs. the run line. At home, they’re just 1-4 vs. the run line, with an average run margin of just 0.8 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers have seen their games go over the total in seven straight contests, and their over/under record for the season is 10-4. The combined run average in their games is 10.8, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 6-2. Overall, the over has hit in 14.3% of their games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs.
Joe Ross and the Brewers are hosting the Padres today. Ross has made two starts this season, and he picked up a win in his first outing of the year. He went 6 1/3 innings and struck out 7 against the Reds, giving up 3 runs. In his first start, he went 3 2/3 innings and struck out 3 but didn’t allow a run.
When looking at the Brewers’ hitting projections, we have Rhys Hoskins as the top candidate to hit a home run for the team, with his home run projection being 8th best in the league today. Christian Yelich has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 12th best in the league. Willy Adames has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 11th best in the league.