Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24

At 1:35 from Fenway Park in Boston, we have an American League matchup between the Angels and Red Sox. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Angels are 7-7 compared to the Red Sox at 8-7. The forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid 50s.

Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Tyler Anderson for the Angels. Boston is at -126 on the money line compared to the Angels at +105. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Angels Moneyline +105

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, April 14th.

HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Angels winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Angels to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Boston cruised to a 7-2 win over the Angels in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Angels, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at -105 on the money line.

Cooper Criswell only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Greg Weissert got the win out of the bullpen. Griffin Canning had a rough outing for the Angels, going just four innings and giving up six runs on nine hits.

Triston Casas and Masataka Yoshida each homered for the Red Sox, while Wilyer Abreu scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Reese McGuire also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Angels Records & Stats

As the Angels are on the road today vs. the Red Sox, they are in 2nd place in the AL West, half a game behind the Rangers. The Angels come into today’s game with a record of 7-7, and they are looking to get above .500 and hopefully take over the division lead with a Rangers loss.

So far, the Angels have been good on the road, putting together a record of 5-3. At home, they have gone just 2-4. The Angels have lost two straight series and are 1-3 in series matchups this season.

When the Angels win, they win big, with an average run differential of +4.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -5.4 runs per game. Overall, the Angels are 6-8 against the run line this season, and they’re 5-3 against the run line on the road. They’ve been the underdog in 12 of their 14 games, and they’re 6-6 against the run line in those games.

Los Angeles Angels games have gone under the total in three straight contests and have an over/under record of 7-7 on the season. The O/U line for their games has averaged 9 runs, but today’s line is set at 9.5 runs. So far, only 7.1% of their games have had an O/U line set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Today’s Angels vs. Red Sox game will feature Tyler Anderson on the mound for the Angels. Anderson has been great in his first two starts of the season, picking up wins in each. He started the year with a 7-inning outing on the road against the Marlins, and then followed that up with another 7-inning start at home vs. the Rays.

Our model is projecting Mike Trout to have the highest chance of hitting a home run for the Angels and the 6th best chance in the league today. Taylor Ward is our 2nd best bet to get a hit for the Angels and his total hits projection is 21st best in the league. Mickey Moniak is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 8th best in the league today. Logan O’Hoppe is our 2nd best bet to hit a home run for the Angels and his odds are 8th best in the league today.

Red Sox Records & Stats

As the Red Sox are both overall and at home, they are looking to move above .500 today, as they are currently 8-7. In the AL East, they are four games behind the Rays and Red Sox, who are both tied for 2nd place in the division.

So far, Boston has really struggled at home, going just 1-4. On the road, they have been much better at 7-3. Boston is coming off a series win, taking the final game vs the Angels. This season, they are 5-2 as the favorite and 3-5 as the underdog.

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a solid bet on the road this season, going 8-2. Their average run margin on the road is +2.6, which is significantly better than their run line record at home, where they are just 1-4. They have been an underdog in 8 of their 14 games, going 6-2 against the run line in those contests.

When the Red Sox and Angels met on June 1, the over/under line was set at 10.5 runs, and the game finished with just nine runs scored. The next day, the line was set at nine runs, and the teams combined for just seven runs. Overall, the Red Sox have played 14 games with over/under lines set below 9.5 runs, and the under has hit in 10 of those games. Their over/under record for the season is 7-7.

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today at home against the Angels. Bello has gone 1-1 in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win against the Mariners and taking a loss vs. the Orioles. In his last outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing 3 runs on 4 hits and 2 walks.

Our model has Triston Casas as the top offensive performer for the Red Sox today. Casas has the top hits and home run projection on the team, and his home run projection is 8th best in the league today. Tyler O’Neill is also a strong candidate to go deep, as his home run projection is 8th best in the league. Rafael Devers is another player to watch, as his home run projection is 9th best in the league today.