Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24
At 1:35 PM ET, the Pirates and Phillies will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and features a Phillies club that is 8-7 vs. a Pirates team that is 10-5. Mitch Keller is going for the Pirates, and he is facing off against Zack Wheeler for the Phillies.
Philadelphia is the favorite at -190 on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by SN PT.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +158
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, April 14th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Philadelphia rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 4-3 win over the Pirates. The Phillies had just one more hit than the Pirates in the game and struck out nine times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -158 on the money line.
Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while Oneil Cruz went deep for the Pirates. Schwarber, Castellanos, and Cruz each had two RBIs.
Spencer Turnbull only went four innings for the Phillies but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Jose Hernandez took the loss. Marco Gonzales put together a good outing for the Pirates, giving up two earned runs across six innings of work.
Pirates Records & Stats
The Pirates come into this one, having gone 10-5 this season and are currently on a two-game losing streak. In the NL Central, they are just one game behind the Brewers, as the Brewers are 10-4 heading into today’s action.
So far, the Pirates have been good on the road, putting together a record of 7-3. They are also above .500 at home, with a record of 3-2. Pittsburgh has yet to play a game in their division this season.
The Pirates are 11-4 against the run line this season, and they have covered the run line in eight of 10 road games. They have been the underdog in 11 of their 13 games against the run line, and they have covered the run line in nine of those games. Their average run differential in their wins this season is +2.9 runs per game.
Despite the Pittsburgh Pirates’ recent under streak, the over/under line for their game against the Philadelphia Phillies is set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have gone over this line in five of their nine games with this line, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 8-7, and the average line for their games this season has been 8 runs.
Mitch Keller and the Pirates are on the road to take on the Phillies today. Keller is coming off a win in his last start, but he did give up 5 earned runs in his first start of the season. He has 21 strikeouts in 16 innings pitched so far this year.
For the Pirates, we are projecting Ke’Bryan Hayes to have a solid game at the plate. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 10th highest in the league today. We also have Oneil Cruz with the best odds to hit a home run for Pittsburgh, as his home run projection is the 5th best in the league today. Bryan Reynolds is our 2nd best Pirates hitter in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 7th best in the league today.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 8-7, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Braves by just one game. The Phillies head into today’s game, having gone 2-2 in their four-game series so far. This came after winning their series vs the Cardinals.
At home, the Phillies are just below .500 at 4-5, but they have been good on the road at 4-2. So far, they have been the favorite in 11 of their games, going 6-5 in those contests.
Philadelphia has been a tough team to figure out when it comes to the run line, as they have a losing run line record overall and at home, but a winning record on the road. They have been a favorite in 11 of their 15 games, and they have a losing run line record in those games. They have been outscored by an average of 0.4 runs per game, but that number jumps to -1.3 at home. Their average run differential in wins is +2.6, while it is -3.9 in losses.
For the Phillies, the under has hit in 10 straight games, and their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 5-10 on the season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the under has hit in all four games. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher in just 13.3% of their games this season.
After a tough-luck loss in his first start of the season, Zack Wheeler will be making his third start of the year for the Phillies. Wheeler has been solid in his first two outings, striking out 15 batters over 13 innings. He has yet to pick up a win, but he has a 3.00 ERA and has only given up one home run so far.
Our player projections for the Phillies today have Trea Turner leading the team in hits, as his total is 11th best in the league. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 3rd best in the league today. However, Kyle Schwarber has the top home run projection for the Phillies, which is 3rd best in the league.