Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/13/24
At 1:40 PM from Citi Field in New York, we have an interleague matchup between the Royals and Mets. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Royals are 9-5, while the Mets are below .500 at 6-7. Alec Marsh is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Sean Manaea for the Mets.
New York comes into this one as the favorite, with money line odds of -163, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by SNY.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +137
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Saturday, April 13th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS METS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all New York Mets in the last game of this series, as they took down the Royals by a score of 6-1. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Royals and struck out five times as much, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -143 on the money line.
Kansas City got on the board first in this game, scoring their only run in the 2nd inning. As for the Mets, they didn’t get on the board until the 3rd but scored at least one run in the 4th, 5th, and 8th innings. Heading into the game, the Royals had the slight edge in starting pitching with Michael Wacha on the mound, but he went just six innings while giving up five runs and took the loss.
Luis Severino only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He picked up the win in the game. Offensively, the Mets were led by Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil, who each had three hits and an RBI.
Royals Records & Stats
The Royals kick off their series vs. the Mets, having a record of 9-5, good for 2nd place in the AL Central. Currently, they are one game behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have been good at taking on other teams from the AL Central, going 5-2.
At home, the Royals have been strong with an 8-2 record, but they are just 1-3 on the road so far. Kansas City got a win in their most recent game, coming vs. the Astros. This came in the final game of the series, taking the series 3-1.
The Royals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 9-5 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 7-3 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +2.4 runs per game. They have been even better when they win, with an average run margin of +5.4 runs per game. When they lose, that margin drops to -3.0 runs per game. On the road, they have gone 2-2 against the run line, but their overall run differential is -1.2 runs per game.
The Royals have had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 5-8. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-5. In 28.6% of their games, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. Their games have gone over the line in 4 of the 14 games this season.
Alec Marsh and the Royals are on the road to take on the Mets. Marsh has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his first outing and then taking a no-decision in his last start. In that outing, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 8 hits.
If you’re looking for some Royals players to potentially have a big day at the plate, we have some projections for a few hitters. Nelson Velázquez has the 7th highest hits projection on the team, and he also has the highest home run projection on the team, which is 6th best in the league today. Bobby Witt Jr. has the highest hits projection on the team and the 10th best in the league today. His home run projection is 2nd best on the team and 7th in the league. Maikel Garcia is 2nd on the team in terms of projected hits, and his home run projection is 17th in the league today.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are currently on a two-game winning streak, as they head into today’s game vs. the Royals. In the NL East, they are 2.5 games behind the Braves, as they are in 3rd place heading into today’s game. So far, they have a series record of 2-2.
At home, the Mets have gone just 2-5 this season, but they have been better on the road at 4-2. As the favorite, their record is 3-5 compared to 3-2 as the underdog.
It’s been a roller-coaster season for the Mets on the run line, as they are just 6-7 overall. However, they have been much better on the road, going 5-1 against the run line. They have covered in two straight games, and their average run margin in wins is 3.7. They are just 1-6 against the run line at home, where their average run margin is -1.1.
When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 6-7. Overall, the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the under is 0-2. So far, 38.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Sean Manaea and the Mets are taking on the Royals in today’s game. Manaea has been sharp in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Reds. He went 5 innings and struck out 6, giving up just 3 hits and 1 earned run.
Looking at the Mets’ player projections, we see that Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 20th highest in the league today. Jeff McNeil has the 2nd highest total hits projection for the Mets and Pete Alonso is our top projected home run hitter for the Mets and 7th in the league today. Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 11th in the league for today’s games.