Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24

There will be NL matchup on Wednesday night, as the Cubs are on the road in San Diego to face the Padres. The Cubs currently sit at 7-4 compared to the Padres at 6-8. This game can be seen on MARQ, with the first pitch set for 6:40 at PETCO Park. The forecast is currently calling for clear skies and 68-degree weather.

Starting for the Padres on Wednesday night is Dylan Cease, and he will be matched up against Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The over/under line for this matchup is sitting at 8 runs, with the Padres being favored at -147 on the money line.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -147

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The Cubs and Padres played the final game of their series, with the Cubs pulling out a 5-1 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Padres were the favorite at -143 on the money line.

Chicago’s offense did most of its damage in the 5th inning, scoring five runs and hitting two home runs off Joe Musgrove. Musgrove went four innings, giving up four earned runs and five hits. Drew Smyly got the win for the Cubs, while Ben Brown started the game and didn’t give up a run in his 4 2/3 innings of work.

Overall, the Cubs outhit the Padres 9-4. Christopher Morel and Yan Gomes each had a home run and four RBIs for the Cubs, while Seiya Suzuki finished 3/5 with a run scored.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago heads into their series finale against the Padres with a 7-4 record, which has them 1.5 games behind the Brewers for the lead in the NL Central. The Cubs have been solid at home, going 5-1, but they have struggled a bit on the road, going 2-3. So far, they have been good in day games, going 5-2.

Chicago has been the favorite in three games this season and has won all three of those games. As an underdog, they are 4-4, and as a road underdog, they are 2-3. In their current series against the Padres, they have won two of the three games.

When it comes to the run line, the Cubs have been a solid bet this season, going 8-3 overall. They are 4-2 at home, but have been even better on the road, going 4-1. Their average run margin for the season is +1.7 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog.

The Chicago Cubs have played 11 games this season with an average combined run total of 11.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 7-4, and the average over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs. In games where the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 0-2. So far, 45.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Kyle Hendricks is on the mound for the Cubs today as they take on the Padres. This will be his 3rd start of the season, and he has yet to record a win. In his first start, he went 4 innings and gave up 5 runs, and in his last outing, he went 3 2/3 innings and gave up 5 runs. He has 13 strikeouts in 7 2/3 innings so far.

For the Cubs, we have Seiya Suzuki as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, as his total hits projection is 12th best in the league today. Suzuki also has the best odds on the Cubs to hit a home run, with his home run projection being 7th best in the league. Cody Bellinger has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team and the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the Cubs, with his home run projection being 13th best in the league today. Christopher Morel is 7th on the team in terms of total hits projection, and his odds to hit a home run are 13th best in the league.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego has a record of 6-8 and is currently in 3rd place in the NL West, four games behind the Dodgers. They have a division record of 4-5 and are just 4-6 at home. The Padres have gone 2-2 on the road and are 4-5 as the favorite. They have gone 2-3 as the underdog and are 4-5 as the home favorite.

San Diego is currently in the middle of a series with the Cubs and have gone 1-3-1 in series this season. They have lost two series in a row and are just 1-3-1 in series this season.

San Diego has been a good run line bet on the road, going 4-0, but not so much at home, where they are just 2-8. They are 6-8 overall on the run line, with an average run differential of -0.2 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 4-1, compared to just 2-7 as the favorite.

San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 6-7, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Padres have gone 0-3-1 on the over/under. Overall, the combined run average in Padres games this season is 10.2 runs per game.

Dylan Cease will be making his third start of the season for the Padres, and he’ll be at home against the Cubs. In his first start, Cease went six innings, striking out seven and giving up two earned runs in a no-decision. He followed that up with a loss to the Giants, where he went just 4 2/3 innings.

Our player props model is high on the Padres’ offense today, with Manny Machado having the 3rd highest hits projection on the team and the top home run projection. His home run projection is 13th best in the league. Xander Bogaerts is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, with the 14th best total in the league today. Fernando Tatis Jr. has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 15th best in the league. Luis Campusano is our 2nd best hitter in terms of total hits and has the 2nd best home run projection on the team.