Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24
There looks to be some rain in the forecast for tonight’s Brewers vs Reds NL Central matchup. The first pitch is set for 6:40 PM at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Reds come into the game with a record of 6-5 compared to the Brewers at 7-3. You can find this on TV on BSOH.
Looking at the forecast, it looks like the temperature will be in the low 50s with Wade Miley on the mound for the Brewers up against Hunter Greene for the Reds. Cincinnati is currently the favorite at -135, and the over/under line is sitting at 9 runs.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +113
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS REDS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
The Brewers and Reds played a high-scoring game in the previous matchup of this series, with the Brewers coming out on top by a score of 9-5. Despite not hitting a home run, the Brewers had 13 hits and took advantage of eight singles and five doubles.
Joe Ross got the win for the Brewers, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished with seven strikeouts and only gave up five hits. On the other side, Frankie Montas took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
Three different Brewers hitters had three RBI’s, including Christian Yelich, who went 2/4 with a double. Both Blake Perkins and Sal Frelick had three hits and scored two runs apiece.
Brewers Records & Stats
Wade Miley is coming off a season in which he made 23 starts and finished with a record of 9-4. His ERA for the season was 3.14, and he made a total of nine quality starts. Miley finished the season with a WHIP of 1.14 and allowed a batting average of .220. He gave up a total of 16 home runs and finished the season with a strikeouts per nine innings rate of 5.91. Miley’s FIP for the season was 4.69, and he finished the season with a walks per nine innings rate of 2.84.
For the Brewers, we have William Contreras as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, with his projection being the 2nd best in the league today. Christian Yelich is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his total hits projection is 4th best in the league today. Rhys Hoskins is our top projected home run hitter on the Brewers, and his home run projection is 4th best in today’s slate of games. Willy Adames is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projection.
Reds Records & Stats
Heading into their series against the Brewers, the Reds are 4th in the NL Central, 2.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. They have gone 6-5 overall and are 1-1 in the division. At home, they have gone 4-4 and are 2-1 on the road. In games they have been favored, they are 3-3, and as an underdog, they are 3-2.
So far in this series, the Reds have gone 2-1, and they are coming off a series against the Mets in which they went 2-1. Overall, they are 4-2 at home, and they will look to continue their strong play at home against the Brewers.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line so far this season, going 5-6 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 3-5, compared to 2-1 on the road. Cincinnati’s average run margin is +0.5 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 3-2 on the run line compared to 2-4 as the favorite.
The Cincinnati Reds have seen their games go over the total in eight of their 11 games this season, and their games have averaged 10.6 runs per game. The over has hit in their last two games, and their games have had an average total of nine runs per game this season. The over/under line for today’s game is set at nine runs.
Hunter Greene will be taking the mound for the Reds at home against the Brewers. Greene has started two games this season, and he has yet to pick up a win. In his first start, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. He followed that up with a 6-inning outing, where he struck out 6 and gave up 3 hits.
If you’re looking for some player props for the Reds, we’ve got some projections for a few players. Spencer Steer has the highest hits projection on the team and the 25th best in the league today. He’s also 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections, 13th in the league. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is our top Reds player in terms of home run projections, 10th best in the league today. Jonathan India is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and 15th in the league in terms of home run projections.