Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24

At 10:00 ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves (53-23) will travel to take on the Phoenix Suns (45-31) at Footprint Center in Phoenix. The Timberwolves are currently favored by 3.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 218.

Minnesota is currently on a two-game winning streak and sits atop the Western Conference. On the other side, the Suns are also on a two-game winning streak and are 6th in the West.

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS PHOENIX SUNS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5

This game will be played at Footprint Center at 10:00 ET on Friday, April 5th.

WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-110 in favor of the Timberwolves.
• Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down 12 threes.

Will the Timberwolves Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

In Minnesota’s last game, they easily covered the spread as 17.5-point favorites with a 133-85 win over the Raptors. The O/U line for that game was 213.5.

Minnesota has won two straight games and is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 53-23. In the Western Conference, they are 36-12 compared to 17-11 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Timberwolves have a scoring differential of +5.3 points per game. Their overall ATS record on the road is 21-16, and they have covered the spread in four straight games on the road.

As underdogs, Minnesota has a record of 9-8 this season, and they are 11-6 ATS as underdogs. Today, they are getting 3.5 points against the Suns. In their games as underdogs, the Timberwolves have an average scoring differential of +0.3 PPG.

Minnesota’s O/U record for the season is 38-38, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 219.1 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 218.

This season, the Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA in scoring at 113.1 points per game. However, they are averaging 114.5 points per game on the road compared to 111.7 at home.

Minnesota is 9th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 48% and 8th in true shooting percentage. They are also 2nd in three-point shooting at 38%.

So far, the Timberwolves have outscored the league average in 42.1% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 20th in the NBA at 97 possessions per game.

In the current season, the Timberwolves defense has excelled, sitting 1st in the NBA by allowing 106.0 points per game. Most recently, the Timberwolves’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 85 points to the Raptors.

Can the Phoenix Offense Score Enough at Home?

The Suns are currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 45-31. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place. As the favorite, they have won their last two games and are 37-19 as the favorite this season.

At home, the Suns are 24-14 this season, and they have won three straight games against the spread at home. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 3.5 points per game at home.

Phoenix’s most recent win came against the Cavaliers, where they won by a score of 122-101. The Suns were favored by 6 points in that game, and the O/U line was 226.5.

This season, the average O/U line in Suns games is 231.7, and their games have averaged 230.7 points per game. The team’s O/U record for the season is 34-41-1.

In today’s game against the Timberwolves, the Suns are favored by 3.5 points. In their games as the favorite, Phoenix has gone 23-32 ATS this season, and their overall ATS record is 32-43. The team has covered the spread in their last three home games.

At home, the Suns are averaging 117.2 points per game, which is 12th in the league. Overall, they are 10th in scoring at 116.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Phoenix is 4th in the NBA at 49%. They have also been effective from beyond the arc, shooting 38% on three-pointers (5th).

So far, the Suns have outscored the league average in 56.6% of their games. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game. When it comes to free throws, the Suns are 2nd in made free throws (19 per game) and 5th in attempts.

When it comes to distributing the ball, the Suns are 11th in the league with 27.1 assists per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 19th in the NBA. In terms of two-point shooting, Phoenix is 9th in the league at 56%. Overall, they are 7th in two-pointers made per game.

On average, the Phoenix defense is giving up 113.9 points per game (16th). Right now, they are on a 3 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. Phoenix’s defense is currently forcing 14.1 turnovers per game, which is 25th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 5th in blocked shots, with an average of 6.1 rejections per game.