Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/26/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Spartans versus the Badgers? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on FS1. The game will be played at Kohl Center in Madison, WI. The odds for this Big Ten conference game currently have Wisconsin as the -3 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 137.5 points.

MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS VS WISCONSIN BADGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Wisconsin Badgers -3

This game will be played at Kohl Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, January 26th.

WHY BET THE WISCONSIN BADGERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Badgers.
  • Not only will Wisconsin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Does Michigan State Stand a Chance on the Road?

Michigan State enters this game with a 12-7 overall record, including a 4-4 record in Big Ten play. The Spartans have won three straight games, and they were most recently in action against Maryland, where they won 61-59. On the road this season, Michigan State has gone just 1-3, and their average scoring margin in these games is -5.5 points per game.

As an underdog this season, the Spartans have gone just 2-3, and they have been the underdog in five of their 19 games. Their record as the underdog is worse than their record as the favorite, which is 10-4. For the season, Michigan State has gone 8-3 in non-conference games, compared to their 4-4 record in Big Ten action.

Michigan State has an overall ATS record of 11-8 this season and they are 3-2 vs. the spread as the underdog. On the road, the Spartans are 2-2 ATS this year and they have gone 5-5 ATS in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, Michigan State has a perfect 3-0 ATS mark in their last three games.

Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Michigan State’s games this season (142.2). This year, the over/under record in their games is 9-10 and their games have averaged 141.4 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 130 points.

Michigan State offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 61 points against Maryland. In that game, they made 7/16 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 42%. Offensively, the Spartans hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 73rd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 116th in terms of percentage and 242nd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Spartans’ defense is ranked 35th in the country at 65.2 points per contest. Michigan State’s three-point defense is currently 153rd in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.8% of their shots vs. Michigan State.

Does Wisconsin Stand a Chance at Home?

Wisconsin enters this game as the favorite, and they have been the favorite in 13 of their 19 games this season, going 11-2 in those games. At home, the Badgers are 12-1 compared to just 3-3 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +14.1, while it is -2.7 on the road.

Over their last 10 home games, the Badgers are a perfect 10-0, and they have won their last 11 games at home. Their overall record on the season is 15-4, and they have gone 7-1 in Big Ten play.

Wisconsin’s ATS record this season is 10-9, but they are just 4-7 vs. the spread when they are the favorite. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Badgers have gone 5-5 ATS. At home this year, Wisconsin is 8-5 vs. the spread and they have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Wisconsin’s games this year (137.6). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and over their last 10 games, their OU record is 7-2-1.

Wisconsin offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 61 points against Minnesota. In that game, they made 7/17 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Leading the team in scoring was Tyler Wahl with 16 points. AJ Storr also added 15 points for the Badgers.

Currently, the Badgers’ defense holds the 63rd rank in the nation, allowing 66.9 points per game. Wisconsin’s three-point defense is currently 130th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.3% of their shots vs. Wisconsin.