Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies Betting Pick & Prediction 1/20/24
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Blue Raiders and Aggies. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Aggies at Pan American Center in Las Cruces, NM. Get ready to place your bets! This Conference USA conference matchup has an over/under of 129.5 points, and the Aggies are favored to win at home vs. the Blue Raiders.
MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS VS NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +6.5
This game will be played at Pan American Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-72 in favor of the Aggies.
- Even though we have New Mexico State winning straight-up, we like Middle Tennessee at +6.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Does Middle Tennessee Have a Shot at a Road Win?
After losing their last game to UTEP by a score of 73-59, Middle Tennessee is looking to snap their seven-game losing streak. So far, they have gone 0-3 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is -20.0 points per game.
As the underdog, Middle Tennessee has gone 0-7 this season, and they have been the underdog in seven of their 18 games. Currently, their record is 6-12, and they are 0-3 in Conference USA action.
As the underdog, Middle Tennessee has struggled against the spread this season, going 0-7. Their overall ATS mark is just 3-13. On the road, the Blue Raiders are 0-6 vs. the spread and have gone just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games. In their last three games as the underdog, Middle Tennessee is 0-3 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee games is 3-12-1, and today’s line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (134.3). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 118 points, and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 2-6-1.
In their recent matchup, the Middle Tennessee offense ended with 59 points against UTEP. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.8% and made 4 threes. The top scorer for the Blue Raiders was Jared Coleman-Jones with 16 points, while Elias King also chipped in with 15 points.
In the current season, the Middle Tennessee defense has excelled, sitting 55th in the nation by allowing 66.2 points per game. So far, the Middle Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 8.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14 times per game (685th).
Do the Aggies Stand a Chance at Home?
After starting the season with an 0-8 record on the road, New Mexico State has turned things around at home, going 4-2. Over their last three games at home, they have gone 3-0.
So far this season, New Mexico State has been the favorite in four games and has gone 4-0 in those games. For the year, they are 8-10 overall and 2-1 in Conference USA.
As the favorite, New Mexico State has gone just 2-2 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have a record of just 3-7 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico State’s games this season (143). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points, which is higher than today’s line.
The New Mexico State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. Western Kentucky. Overall their field goal percentage was 38.2% while connecting on 12 threes. Leading New Mexico State in scoring vs. Western Kentucky was Tanahj Pettway with his 19 points. Jaden Harris also added 18 points for the Aggies.
Coming into today’s game, the New Mexico State defense is giving up an average of 71.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, New Mexico State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.7% this season.