Little Rock Trojans vs UT Martin Skyhawks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Trojans versus the Skyhawks? Tip off is at at 4:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center in Martin, TN. This Ohio Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 172.5 points, and the Skyhawks are favored to win at home vs. the Trojans.
LITTLE ROCK TROJANS VS UT MARTIN SKYHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UT Martin Skyhawks -2.5
This game will be played at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE UT MARTIN SKYHAWKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Skyhawks.
- Not only will UT Martin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 172.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Can Little Rock Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?
Little Rock is coming off a narrow 90-88 loss to Eastern Illinois, and the Trojans are 8-9 overall this season. They are 2-2 in Ohio Valley Conference play and 6-7 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, Little Rock is 2-5, and their average scoring margin is -5.0 points per game. As the underdog, the Trojans are 4-6 this season, and they have gone 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
As the underdog, Little Rock has an ATS record of 4-6 this season and they are 8-9 overall. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-5 and their last 10 road ATS record is 3-6-1. As the underdog, their last 10 ATS mark is 4-6 and their last 5 underdog ATS record is 3-2.
The over/under record for Little Rock this season is 12-5, and the average over/under line in their games is 153.1. Today’s over/under line of 172.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this year (161.3). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 172 points.
Little Rock recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 88 points against Eastern Illinois. This output exceeded their season average of 80.2 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Jamir Chaplin with 19 points. Khalen Robinson also added 18 points for the Trojans.
At this time, the Trojans’ defense is positioned 316th in the country, permitting 81.1 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. UT Martin. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 36.1%.
Does UT Martin Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
UT Martin will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they take on Little Rock. So far this season, the Skyhawks have gone 9-8, including a 2-2 record in Ohio Valley Conference games. At home, they are just 1-3, and their average scoring margin is -6.5 points per game.
Coming into this game, UT Martin has been the favorite in six of their 17 games, going 3-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -2.6 points per game, and they have gone 4-5 in those games.
UT Martin has not been good against the spread at home this season, going 0-4. They are 2-4 vs. the spread when favored this season and have an overall ATS record of 6-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Skyhawks are just 4-6.
So far this season, the over/under record for UT Martin games is 7-6. On average, their games have finished with 162.5 points, which is 6.9 points higher than the average over/under line of 155.6. Today’s line of 172.5 is higher than the average scoring total of their games this year (162.5) and the average point total in their last three games is just 147 points.
The UT Martin offense is coming off a game in which they scored 64 points vs. Western Illinois. Overall their field goal percentage was 38.2% while connecting on 5 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Skyhawks offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 25.4 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 44%.
As they prepare for the upcoming game, UT Martin is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 79.8 points per game (311st). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UT Martin’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.8% this season.