Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Maple Leafs being the favored team playing at home against the Avalanche.
COLORADO AVALANCHE VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:
- Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a 4-3 win.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Avalanche (+1.5)
Does Colorado Have What it Takes on the Road?
On the road this season, the Avalanche have gone 9-7-3, and they have won their last two games away from home. In the Western Conference standings, Colorado is in third place and second in the Central Division. Overall, the Avalanche have a record of 27-12-3, and they have gone 8-2 in their last ten games.
As the underdog, Colorado has gone 2-2 this season, and they have been the favorite in 38 of their 42 games. In the last three games, the Avalanche have gone 2-1, and they have won four of their last five games.
On the road, the Avalanche’s puck line record is 6-13, and their average scoring margin is -.4 goals per game. Overall, Colorado has gone 20-22 against the puck line, including 19 wins by multiple goals.
So far, the Avalanche have been the underdog in just four games, going 2-2 against the puck line in those contests. In their last ten road games, Colorado’s puck line record is just 1-9.
The average goal total for Colorado’s games is sitting at 6.8. The average over/under line for the season is 6.3. The Avalanche come in with an over/under record of 23-17-2.
In their last three games away from home, the Avalanche have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
On the offensive side, the Avalanche are scoring an 3.6 goals per game this season, ranking 2nd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 4th in the league. The Colorado offense is ranked 2nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 8th in the NHL.
The leading scorer for Colorado’s offense is Valeri Nichushkin. Coming into the game he has 22 goals, ranking 10th in the NHL. Nichushkin also comes into the game with 20 assists.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 20th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.2 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 6th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.
Goalie Alexandar Georgiev comes into the game having made 34 starts this season. So far, his record is 23-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.99%.
Do the Maple Leafs Have a Shot at a Home Win?
At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 10-7-2, and they have been favored in 33 of their 39 games. Overall, Toronto is 21-11-8, and they are in 5th place in the Eastern Conference. In their last 10 games, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-5, and they have won four of their last five games.
Against other Eastern Conference teams, Toronto has gone 10-14, and they are in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division. In games where they have been favored, the Maple Leafs have gone 18-9-7, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three games.
At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone just 7-12 against the puck line, but they have covered in three of their last five games overall. Toronto has an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game this year, and they have won 11 games by multiple goals.
So far, Toronto has gone just 13-26 against the puck line on the year, but they have covered in five of their last ten home games. The Maple Leafs have gone 8-25 against the puck line when favored and 5-1 against the puck line when the underdog.
This season, Toronto’s games have an average of 6.9 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under performance of 21-17-1.
Although Colorado has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs. the puck line going 1-2. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
On the offensive side, the Maple Leafs are scoring an 3.6 goals per game this season, ranking 7th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 9th in the league. This year, the Maple Leafs have recorded a 10-5 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 10-5 record.
The leading scorer for Toronto’s offense is Auston Matthews. Coming into the game he has 33 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Matthews has 15 assists this season.
Toronto defense takes on the Avalanche ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 31.2 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 6th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.
Entering the game, goalie Martin Jones has started 11 games this season. His current record stands at 8-3, and his save percentage is 0.451%.