Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 12/9/23

Planning on watching today’s Bearkats and Bears game? Catch the action at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points, and the Bears are favored to win at home vs. the Bearkats.
SAM HOUSTON STATE BEARKATS VS MISSOURI STATE BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Missouri State Bears -7.5
This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, December 9th.
WHY BET THE MISSOURI STATE BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Bears.
- Not only will Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Can the Bearkats Lock in a Road Win?
Sam Houston State is preparing for their 10th game of the season, coming in with a 5-4 overall record. On the road, the Bearkats have a 3-3 record, while at home they are 0-1. As of today’s game, Sam Houston State’s performance against the spread this season sits at 4-3. When examining their last five games, the team has a 3-1 record vs. the spread.
Up to this point, games involving Sam Houston State have had an average of 147.4 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 137.1 points. Their over/under record is 6-1-0. When looking at the Bearkats’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-0, with their games averaging 145 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Sam Houston State offense put up just 61 points vs. the Arizona State Sun Devils. Overall, they are now averaging 75.2 points per game which is 227th in the country. Damon Nicholas Jr. led the scoring for the Bearkats, contributing 15 points. Additionally, Davon Barnes chipped in with 13 points.
In terms of defense, Sam Houston State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.7 points per game. Sam Houston State’s three-point defense is currently 61st in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 46.4% of their shots vs. Sam Houston State.
Does Missouri State Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
When they take on Sam Houston State, the Bearkats come into the game with an overall record of 6-3. Missouri State has gone 0-3 on the road and 5-0 at home. As of today’s game, Missouri State has a 4-4 record against the spread. However, in their previous five games, they are 1-3 vs. the spread.
After nine games, Missouri State has an over/under record of 4-4-0, with their games averaging a combined 141.6 points per game so far. In their most recent three games, the Bears’ over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 149 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Missouri State offense put up just 57 points vs. the Drake Bulldogs. Overall, they are now averaging 74.2 points per game which is 202nd in the country. Donovan Clay is leading the team in scoring at 15.3 points per contest. Brad Mason has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 17.6 going into the game.
At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 92nd in the country, permitting 68.0 points per game. So far, the Missouri State defense is giving up an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.7 times per game (553rd).