Wichita State Shockers vs South Florida Bulls Betting Pick & Prediction 1/21/24

Looking to win big? The Shockers and Bulls face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bulls are hosting the game at Yuengling Center in Tampa, FL. The over/under for this American Athletic conference contest is set at 150.5 points, with the Bulls being the favored team playing at home against the Shockers.

WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS VS SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS BETTING PICK

The Pick: South Florida Bulls -4.5

This game will be played at Yuengling Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, January 21st.

WHY BET THE SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Bulls.
  • Not only will South Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Wichita State Defense Show Up on the Road?

Wichita State heads into this game against South Florida as the underdog. Through 17 games, the Shockers are 8-9 overall and have lost six straight games. Their record in the American Athletic Conference is 0-4 compared to their non-conference mark of 8-5.

On the road this season, Wichita State has gone 2-4, and their average scoring margin is -2.5 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Shockers have gone 4-6, and they are coming off a loss to Florida Atlantic, 86-77.

Wichita State has struggled against the spread this season, going just 5-11, including a 2-4 mark on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Shockers have gone just 2-7-1 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Wichita State games is 10-6, and the average point total in their games is 148.6. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (145.5). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Wichita State offense tallied 77 points in a matchup against Florida Atlantic. Their field goal percentage for the game was 56.4%, and they made 8 threes. Quincy Ballard was the leading scorer for the Shockers, putting up 18 points. In addition, Colby Rogers contributed 18 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Wichita State defense is giving up an average of 74.9 points per contest. So far, the Wichita State defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.4 times per game (598th).

Do the Bulls Have What it Takes at Home?

South Florida enters this game with an overall record of 10-5, including a 3-1 mark in American Athletic Conference action. The Bulls have won two straight games and are 9-2 at home this season.

So far, South Florida has been favored in 10 of its 15 games, going 8-2 in those contests. The Bulls’ average scoring margin at home is +10.8 points per game.

As the favorite this season, South Florida has gone 7-3 vs. the spread. They are 8-3 vs. the spread at home this year and have an overall ATS record of 9-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulls are 7-3 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 7-3 over their last 10 contests.

South Florida’s over/under record for the season is 4-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 146.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (148.6). So far, 11 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 148 points.

The South Florida offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against Memphis. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.3% and connected on 10 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Selton Miguel, who is averaging 15.1 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Chris Youngblood also maintains a PPG average of 14.7 heading into game.

In terms of defense, South Florida is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.5 points per game. The South Florida defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed Memphis to connect on 6 threes.