Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 3/3/25

At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-397) will host the Washington Wizards (+308) in a Southeast Division matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 9 points and the over/under line is 219.5.
This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on FDSS.
WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -9
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Monday, March 3rd.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 131-96 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.9% and knocking down 16 threes.
Will Washington Find a Way to Win on the Road?
The Wizards improved to 11-48 this season with a 113-100 win over the Hornets on Saturday. Washington, who entered the game as +4 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game were 213, falling short of the 224.5 O/U line.
Charlotte went on a 10-0 run, turning a 43-38 deficit into a 48-43 lead, but Washington responded by outscoring them 30-16 in the 3rd quarter. The Wizards entered the 4th quarter up 84-75 and finished strong, outscoring the Hornets 29-25 in the final period.
In their 113-100 win over the Hornets, the Wizards connected on 17 threes, shooting 34% from deep and 45.5% overall. Bilal Coulibaly and Khris Middleton each scored 17 points, with Middleton shooting 55.6% from the field.
Coulibaly added 7 rebounds, while Richaun Holmes contributed 15 points on 83.3% shooting. Coulibaly scored 7 points in the 4th quarter, and Marcus Smart also added 7 of his 12 points in the final period.
The Wizards gave up 34 points in the 2nd quarter but tightened up defensively in the 3rd, allowing just 16 points to help secure the win. Overall, they held the Hornets to 100 points on 44% shooting.
Washington sent Charlotte to the line only 6 times, where they made 4 free throws. The Wizards also recorded 13 steals and 7 blocks in the game.
Pressure Builds for Miami as Home Favorites
Miami fell to 28-31 on the season after a 116-112 home loss to the Knicks on Sunday. Despite being +6.5 point underdogs, the Heat kept it close, losing by just four points. The total score of 228 points went over the pre-game line of 220.
Miami went on a 16-0 run, pushing the score from 44-39 to 60-39, but the Knicks stormed back, outscoring the Heat 36-25 in the 3rd quarter and 24-18 in the 4th to complete the comeback.
Bam Adebayo was dominant for the Heat in their 116-112 loss to the Knicks, scoring 30 points on 75% shooting, along with 7 rebounds and 4 assists. Tyler Herro struggled from the field, shooting just 33.3% and hitting 2 threes at 18.2%, finishing with 22 points and 7 assists.
As a team, the Heat shot 53.6% from the field but made just 11 threes at a 31.4% clip. Kel’el Ware contributed 12 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 85.7%, while Alec Burks added 9 of his 12 points in the 3rd quarter.
Even with a strong defensive effort in the 1st and 2nd quarters, the Heat couldn’t overcome a 36-point 3rd quarter from the Knicks, ultimately allowing 116 points in the loss. Miami did manage to hold New York to just 14 made threes on 31% shooting from beyond the arc.
The Heat sent the Knicks to the line 15 times, where they made 10 free throws. Miami also gave up 11 offensive rebounds. Defensively, the Heat recorded 5 steals and 6 blocks.