Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/18/24

There does appear to be a chance for light rain in Philadelphia on Sunday, as the Nationals and Phillies are set to face off at 1:35 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. Jake Irvin is starting for the Nationals, and they are 55-69, putting them 4th in the NL East. The Phillies have won four straight and Taijuan Walker on the mound.
The over/under line for this matchup is 9.5 runs, and the Phillies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -177. Washington comes in with a money line payout of +148. MASN is carrying this game on TV.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -177
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 18th.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Philadelphia cruised to a 5-1 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -234 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going nine innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Nick Castellanos and Weston Wilson, as they were the only two Phillies hitters to have more than one hit. Castellanos. Washington’s top hitter was Alex Call, who went 1/4 with a home run.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first three games of their series vs. the Phillies. Overall, the Nationals are 55-69, putting them 4th in the NL East, 18.5 games behind the Phillies.
This season, the Nationals have gone 16-18 in divisional games. At home, the Nationals are 28-32 compared to 27-37 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 45-59 this season, and they are just 10-10 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 16-19-3, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
Washington is 69-55 against the run line this season, including a 37-27 mark on the road. The Nationals have been a run line underdog in 104 of their games and are 60-44 in those contests. They have a run line losing streak on the road, and their average run differential is -0.6 runs per game.
Washington is on the road against Philadelphia, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Nationals have had an over/under record of 62-57 this season, and the average over/under line for their games has been 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-8. This season, only 4.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their games have had an average combined run total of 9 runs.
Jake Irvin will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Orioles. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has made 25 starts and has a record of 9-10. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off the right-hander this season. Irvin has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.57 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 21 homers.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season, and they are also just 19th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. However, they do come into the game with a team batting average of .243, which is the 11th best mark in the league. The Nationals have two players with over 50 RBIs this season, with Luis Garcia Jr. and CJ Abrams both having 59 RBIs. Abrams is also the team’s leader in home runs, with 17 this season.
Keibert Ruiz has put together a nice stretch at the plate, going 5/17 in his last four games with two home runs. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. James Wood has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/19 in his last five games.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is currently leading the NL East by eight games over the Braves, and they have an overall record of 73-50. The Phillies have won four straight games, and they are 19-11 against other teams in the NL East. Their four-game win streak has come at home, where they are 42-22 this year.
The Phillies have been favored in 100 of their games, and they are 62-38 in those games. As the underdog, Philadelphia has gone 11-12 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 19-15-6.
The Phillies have a run line record of 31-33 at home this season, with an average run margin of 1.4 runs per game. They have a run line record of 61-62 overall, with an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 49 of 100 games as the favorite and in 12 of 23 games as the underdog.
The Philadelphia Phillies are hosting the Washington Nationals today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.9, and their over/under record is 57-60. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 4-7. Only 5.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, with 105 games having lower lines. The under has hit in the last two Phillies games.
Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Phillies today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. Walker has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with a 5.68 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .279 off Walker this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.51. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 7.58 strikeouts per nine innings. Walker’s ERA at home is 5.94 compared to 5.57 on the road.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 4th in team batting average at .258 and are 8th in home runs. Alec Bohm has been a key part of the Phillies lineup this season, as he is batting .296 with 13 homers and 85 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team and 7th in the league.
Bohm has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/22 in his last six games with four runs scored and seven RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has struggled in his last six games, going just 3/25 with one home run and five RBIs. Schwarber does have 28 homers this season, which is the best mark on the team and 8th in the MLB.