Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24

The Nationals and Mets are set to face off in an NL East matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field in New York. The Nationals are 42-49, while the Mets are 44-45 overall. Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, and he is facing a Nationals team that has lost two in a row. Jake Irvin is starting for the Nationals.

New York is the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -137 compared to the Nationals at +116. Tuesday’s over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MASN.

NEW YORK METS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -137

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the slight favorite at -118 on the money line. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 4th inning, as the Cardinals scored three runs in the inning. Washington’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Mitchell Parker put together a good start for the Nationals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Nationals couldnjson’t get the win, and Parker took the loss. Washington’s offense was held to only eight hits and didn’t have any timely hitting, as they didn’t score a run after the 3rd inning.

Washington is 42-49 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL East, sitting 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Nationals are on a two-game losing streak, dropping their final two games before the All-Star break. So far, they have gone 16-12 in divisional games.

At home, the Nationals are 20-24 this season and 22-25 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 33-41 this season, including 18-22 on the road. They have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 11-16-2 this year.

Washington has been a strong run line bet this season, going 52-39 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 28-19 against the run line. The Nationals have been a strong bet as an underdog, going 44-30 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.4 in losing games.

The Nationals have played 77 games this season, and 30 of them have had over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 43-44. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-14.

Washington is sending right-hander Jake Irvin to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 2.80. Opposing batters are hitting .210 off Irvin this season, and he has turned in 12 quality starts. In his last outing, Irvin pitched eight scoreless innings, picking up the win. Looking back further, he has allowed just one earned run in three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and 2.47 ERA compared to 2-5 with a 3.94 ERA at home.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, also averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .239 and are 22nd in the league in home runs. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late.

Luis Garcia Jr. has been on a tear for the Nationals, going 13/31 in his last nine games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .274, which is 4th on the team. CJ Abrams has been the team’s top hitter this season, with 46 RBIs and 14 homers, while batting .279.

Mets Records & Stats

New York closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 8-2 loss on the road. The Mets were the slight favorite at +104 on the money line. Things started off well for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Pirates scored twice in the bottom of the first.

Christian Scott got the start for the Mets and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on just one hit. Brandon Nimmo had a big game at thejson plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Mets are 44-45 overall heading into today’s game vs. the Nationals, and they are 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 13.5 games for the division lead. In the NL East, they have gone 13-12 this season.

At home, the Mets are 21-25 this year and 23-20 on the road. New York has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 25-23 overall as the favorite this season. As the underdog, the Mets are 19-22 this year. Their overall series record is 13-13-5, and they split their most recent series vs. the Pirates.

The Mets have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are right at .500 on the run line at 41-41. They have been a bit better on the road, going 24-19 on the run line, compared to 17-29 at home. They have been an underdog in 41 of their games, going 24-17 in those contests. Their average run margin in games they win is +3.4, while it’s -3.4 in games they lose.

Today’s over/under line is 8.5 runs, which is lower than the Mets’ combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. The Mets have gone over the total in 47 of their 86 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have gone over in 14 of 23 games, and 21 of their games have had higher lines than today’s total. Overall, 50.6% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Nationals and comes into the game with a record of 3-5 and ERA of 4.22. So far this season, he has made 17 starts, six of which were quality starts. In his last outing, Quintana went seven innings vs. the Nationals, giving up no earned runs on one hit. He finished with three walks and six strikeouts in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. The left-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 6.43 compared to 3.90 at home.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Alonso’s 18 homers leading the team and Nimmo’s 14 homers being 3rd on the team and 13th in the league.

Over the past seven games, Brandon Nimmo has gone 8/25 with a home run and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .252. Francisco Lindor has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 7/27 with two homers in his last seven games. Lindor is batting .248 for the season and has 15 homers.