Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24

At 2:10 PM ET, the Nationals and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-149). The Nationals have won two straight and are 44-52 overall, while the Brewers are 54-42.

Colin Rea will start for the Brewers, while the Nationals are sending Jake Irvin to the mound. On the money line, the Brewers are -149 compared to the Nationals at +127. Sunday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and BSWI will be televising this one.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +127

This game will be played at American Family Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 14th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Washington rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Nationals vs. Brewers series. The Nationals scored five runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +119 on the money line.

Mitchell Parker only went two-thirds of an inning for the Nationals but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Trevor Megill took the loss for Milwaukee out of the bullpen. Kyle Finnegan got the save for Washington.

Luis Garcia Jr. and CJ Abrams each homered for the Nationals, while Juan Yepez went 2/4 with a double and an RBI. Lane Thomas also had two hits and scored a run for Washington.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 44-52 overall, and they are 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals have gone 16-15 in divisional games this year. They have won two straight games, and these wins have helped them build a 2.5-game lead over the Mets for 3rd place in the division.

The Nationals have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers, and they are 11-17-2 in series this year. Washington has been good as the road underdog, going 20-25 this year, and they are 24-28 as the road team overall. As the favorite, the Nationals are 9-8 this year, and they are 20-24 at home.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 54-42 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 30-22 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 46-33 against the run line in those games.

The Nationals are on the road today against the Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Washington’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 45-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-16. Overall, 33.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 3.13 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.04 and opponents are batting .217 this season. In his 19 starts, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 7.71 strikeouts per nine innings. Irvin’s last outing was a rough one, as he gave up six earned runs in six innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

So far this season, the Nationals have been one of the league’s worst home run-hitting teams and are just 21st in the league in terms of runs scored. Overall, they are batting a collective .239, which is 15th in the MLB. As a team, they are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league.

Washington’s top power hitter this season has been CJ Abrams, who is 13th in the league with 15 home runs. However, he is coming off a stretch in which he has gone just 2/24. Luis Garcia Jr. has also been a solid power threat this season, as he has 11 homers and is batting .281. He has gone 7/21 in his last six games. Jesse Winker is also batting .263 with 11 homers and is 3/16 in his last six games.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is currently 54-42 overall, putting them 1st in the NL Central. The Brewers lead the Cardinals by 3.5 games for the top spot in the division. They have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak has come after winning four in a row.

So far, the Brewers have gone 21-12 against other teams in the NL Central. At home, the Brewers are 28-17 this year compared to 26-25 on the road. They have dropped two straight as the favorite and are 32-21 overall as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, it is 22-21 this season.

The Brewers have been a solid run-line team this season, going 49-47 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 27-24, compared to 22-23 at home. They have been a good run-line bet as an underdog, going 28-15, but have struggled as a favorite, going just 21-32. Their average run differential this season is +0.8 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home today against the Washington Nationals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is just below their combined average of 8.8 runs per game. The Brewers have hit the over in 51 of their 92 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Brewers have hit the over in 23 of those 39 games.

Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates. In that start, which came on July 9th, he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back further, Rea had picked up the win in two straight outings before that. One of those wins was vs. the Cubs, where he gave up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Rea’s record for the season is 8-3, and he has an ERA of 3.81. Opposing batters are hitting .232 off the right-hander this season.

Christian Yelich has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, batting .327 with 11 homers, which is 2nd on the team. He has also been hot of late, going 9/29 with three homers over his last nine games. Rhys Hoskins and Willy Adames are tied for the team lead with 14 homers, but Hoskins is batting just .215 this season, and Adames is at .238.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, but they have been a bit below average in terms of isolated power. Overall, they have the league’s 5th best batting average and have been good at avoiding strikeouts.