Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

At 1:35 PM from Fenway Park in Boston, we have an interleague matchup between the Nationals and Red Sox. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Nationals are 19-19, while the Red Sox are just above .500 at 20-19. Brayan Bello is starting for Boston, and he is facing off against MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals.

Boston is the favorite at -154, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by MASN.

BOSTON RED SOX VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -154

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Nationals series. Boston went into the matchup as -157 favorites and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Red Sox offense only had two more hits than the Nationals and struck out seven times, but still picked up a win.

Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox, going just five innings while giving up two hits and two earned runs. Chris Martin got the win out of the bullpen, and Kenley Jansen got the save. Jake Irvin put together a good outing for the Nationals, giving up just two earned runs across seven innings of work.

At the plate, Wilyer Abreu and Rafael Devers each had two RBIs for the Red Sox. Abreu, Xander Bogaerts, and Hunter Renfroe each had a double and a run scored. For the Nationals, Eddie Rosario hit the game’s only home run and went 1/2 with two RBIs.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is at an even 19-19 overall as they play on the road vs. the Red Sox today. The Nationals are 3rd in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 5-2 in divisional games.

The Nationals have been just below average at home, going 7-10 this year. On the road, they are 12-9, including being 11-9 as the underdog on the road. As the underdog overall, the Nationals are 17-18 compared to being 2-1 as the favorite. This season, the Nationals’ series record is 5-6-1.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 24-14 overall. The Nationals have been especially good on the road, going 15-6 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 22-13 against the run line. Washington’s average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while it is -3.5 in losing games.

The over/under line for the Washington Nationals’ game against the Boston Red Sox today is set at 8 runs. The Nationals’ games this season have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 17-20. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 2-3-1. Overall, 68.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.44 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .281 off Gore this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.47. Gore’s last outing came on May 5th vs. the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision. In that game, he gave up two earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Gore has made one quality start this year and is averaging 11.12 strikeouts per nine innings.

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 19th in runs per game (4.2) and have a team batting average of just .229. However, they do have two hitters with at least 20 RBIs, including CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. Abrams and Garcia Jr. are also the Nationals top home run hitters, with 7 and 3 homers, respectively. Garcia Jr. has been hot of late, hitting .345 over his last eight games, while Abrams has gone 9/22 in that stretch.

As a team, the Nationals are just 15th in home runs and are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Washington’s most consistent hitter of late has been Eddie Rosario, who is on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .409 over his last eight games.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 20-19 overall this season and is looking to pick up a win at home today vs. the Nationals. The Red Sox trail the Orioles by 6.5 games in the AL East and are 0-3 in divisional games this year. So far, they are 8-10 at home compared to 12-9 on the road.

The Red Sox have dropped two straight series, and their overall series record is 6-5-1 this year. As the favorite, Boston is 10-6 and 10-13 as the underdog. In their series vs. the Nationals, the Red Sox are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Red Sox win, they do so by an average of 4.7 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.3 runs. They have a run line record of 20-19 on the season, with a 7-11 mark at home and a 13-8 record on the road. As the favorite, they are just 6-10 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 14-9.

The Boston Red Sox have gone under the total in four straight games, and their over/under record for the season is now 14-22. The over/under line for today’s game against the Washington Nationals is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 7.8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Red Sox have gone 1-3-2 to the under.

Brayan Bello has been solid through his first three starts of the season, and he’ll be getting the start at home against the Nationals. Bello has a win in each of his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings and struck out 7 while only allowing 1 hit.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, and their team on-base percentage of .318 is 10th in the league. Boston’s offense has been tough to strike out this season, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 26th best mark in the league.

Ceddanne Rafaela comes into the game with a team-high 20 RBIs but is batting just .211 for the season. However, he has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 in his last six games. Rafaela also has one homer and has driven in three runs during this stretch. Jarren Duran has also been playing well of late, going 7/24 in his last six games. He is on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .265 for the season.