Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction for 11/16

The Washington Commanders take on the Miami Dolphins in Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season. The game is set for Sunday, November 16, at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain. Fans can catch the action on NFLN at 9:30 AM.

Both teams come into this game with identical records of 3-7. The Commanders, led by Head Coach Dan Quinn, look to improve their road performance. Meanwhile, the Dolphins, coached by Mike McDaniel, hope to leverage their home advantage, even on foreign soil. The weather forecast indicates a cool day with clear skies, though the retractable roof may negate any wind impact.

Washington Commanders Team Preview

The Washington Commanders have faced a tough stretch in recent games. They lost their last five games, with the most recent being a 44-22 loss to the Detroit Lions. In that game, the Commanders managed only 14 first downs compared to the Lions’ 30.

Offensively, the Commanders have struggled with their passing game. In their loss to the Seattle Seahawks, they had only 133 passing yards compared to the Seahawks’ 330. Their rushing was a bit better with 157 yards, but it was not enough to secure a win.

Injuries have plagued the Commanders this season. Key players like Terry McLaurin and Jayden Daniels are currently out. These injuries have impacted their depth and performance on the field, making it challenging for them to compete at a high level.

Commanders vs Dolphins Game Day Info

• Sport: NFL
• Teams: Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins
• Venue: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain
• Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Betting Odds: Commanders Moneyline +131, Dolphins Moneyline -155, Commanders Spread +2.5 (-102), Dolphins Spread -2.5 (-119), Total Over 47.5 (-109), Total Under 47.5 (-112)

Miami Dolphins Team Preview

The Miami Dolphins have shown mixed results in recent games. They secured a win against the Buffalo Bills with a 30-13 score. In that game, De’Von Achane stood out with 174 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

However, the Dolphins faced a tough game against the Baltimore Ravens, losing 28-6. Despite the loss, Tua Tagovailoa managed 245 passing yards. The team struggled with turnovers, including two fumbles and one interception.

The Dolphins’ offense is spearheaded by key players like Tua Tagovailoa and Jaylen Waddle. Tua has passed for 1,952 yards and 17 touchdowns this season. Jaylen Waddle contributes with 670 receiving yards and five touchdowns, making him a top target.

BTB Betting Pick

The Miami Dolphins are favored by 2.5 points against the Washington Commanders. The Dolphins have a stronger defense, ranked 10th in opponent scores, compared to the Commanders at 17th. Given the Dolphins’ home advantage and defensive edge, picking Miami to cover the -2.5 spread seems reasonable. A projected score could be Dolphins 27, Commanders 24.

The total for the game is set at 47.5 points. The Commanders’ offense ranks 5th in scoring, while the Dolphins’ defense ranks 10th in opponent scores. With both teams having strengths in scoring and defense, the game could stay under the total. A projected total score of 51 points suggests taking the over might be the better option here.