Utah Valley Wolverines vs Tarleton State Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/24

Looking to win big? The Wolverines and Texans face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Texans are hosting the game at Wisdom Gym in Stephenville, TX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 141.5 points, and Tarleton State is favored by -5.5 to win at home against Utah Valley.

UTAH VALLEY WOLVERINES VS TARLETON STATE TEXANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Utah Valley Wolverines +5.5

This game will be played at Wisdom Gym at 8:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE UTAH VALLEY WOLVERINES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Wolverines.
• Not only will Utah Valley pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Will the Wolverines Win in Stephenville?

Utah Valley is 14-15 overall and 9-9 in the Western Athletic Conference. They are 4-10 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -5.4. They are currently coming off a 78-65 loss to UT Arlington.

As the underdog, the Wolverines are 5-12 this season. So far, they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games, and their record in their last 10 road games is 2-8. Overall, they have won two straight games on the road.

Utah Valley’s ATS record for the season is 15-11-1, and they have gone 8-5-1 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines have a mark of 5-4-1. In their last 3 road games, Utah Valley is 3-0 ATS.

This season, the over/under record in Utah Valley games is 11-16 and the average scoring total in their games is 137 points. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (140.3). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

The Wolverines’ offense finished with 65 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 68.9 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Drake Allen with 18 points. Trevin Dorius also added 12 points for the Wolverines.

Coming into today’s game, the Utah Valley defense is giving up an average of 68.8 points per contest. Utah Valley will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UT Arlington to just 41% shooting in their most recent game.

Do the Texans Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

With a 22-7 overall record, Tarleton State has been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. They have been especially good at home, going 9-2 this season, including a current four-game win streak.

For the season, the Texans have been favored in 13 of their 29 games, going 11-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +7.4 points per game, compared to -2.6 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Tarleton State has gone 8-5 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 7-4, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4. The Texans have also been a strong bet of late, going 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games and 4-1 in their last 5.

So far this season, the over/under record in Tarleton State games is 17-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (138.4). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 159 points.

Tarleton State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 88 points against Southern Utah. This output exceeded their season average of 73.8 points per game. For the season, the Tarleton State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 45%. So far, they have hit 50% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 5.7 made three’s per contest.

Currently, the Texans’ defense holds the 80th rank in the nation, allowing 68.4 points per game. Against Southern Utah in their most recent game, the Tarleton State defense gave up a total of 83 points while allowing Southern Utah to hit 49% of their shots.