Utah Utes vs Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 10/11/24
ESPN will be covering this week seven matchup between the Utah Utes and Arizona State Sun Devils, set for 10:30 ET at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. Both teams are 4-1 this season, and the Utes are favored at -6.5 points. The over/under line is currently set at 45.5 points. The Utes come in with -244 odds on the money line, while the Sun Devils are at +200.
UTAH UTES VS ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Utah Utes -6.5
This game will be played at Mountain America Stadium at 10:30 ET on Friday, October 11th.
WHY BET THE UTAH UTES:
- We have the Utah Utes winning this one by a score of 25 to 16
- Not only do we have the Utah Utes winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -6.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Will The Utah Utes Win As Road Favorites?
Utah enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, ranked 40th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 92.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 3.6% shot at winning the Big 12. On the road, they are 2-0, while their home record stands at 1-1.
The Utes have been favored in four of their five games, going 3-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +13.4 points per game, but they are 1-3 against the spread this season.
Utah’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 43.4 points. Their average over/under line is 49.6 points, and this week’s line is set at 45.5 points.
Utah’s offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking 85th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. They are averaging 28.4 points per game, placing them 52nd nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is just 32.9%, which ranks 100th in the country. Isaac Wilson, their quarterback, has thrown for 830 yards but has a passer rating of 69, with six touchdowns and seven interceptions.
Utah is averaging 235.2 passing yards per game, ranking 74th, and they are 48th in passing attempts. Wilson has completed 55.7% of his passes. On the ground, they are averaging 183.8 rushing yards per game. Micah Bernard leads the team with 547 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, but he has only one rushing touchdown this season.
Despite Utah’s 23-10 loss to Arizona, their defense managed to allow just 23 points, while forcing two interceptions. They gave up 422 total yards, including 301 passing yards, but no passing touchdowns. Arizona also ran the ball 30 times for 121 yards and one rushing touchdown.
Utah’s defense ranks 13th nationally, allowing just 15 points per game. They’ve given up 110.4 rushing yards per game and 173 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing only 47.4% of their passes, the sixth-lowest rate in the country.
Are The Arizona State Sun Devils Going Win In At Upset At Mountain America Stadium
Arizona State enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, hosting Utah. They are 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road. The Sun Devils have been favored in three of their five games, going 3-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +9.4 points per game, and they are ranked 53rd in our power rankings. We project an 86.6% chance of them becoming bowl-eligible this season.
Against the spread, Arizona State is 4-1, with a 3-0 mark at home. They’ve covered in all three games as the favorite. Their over/under record is 3-2, with an average line of 54.4 points and an average game total of 57 points.
This week’s over/under line is set at 45.5 points. Arizona State has played five games with higher lines and two with lower totals than this week’s line. On average, their games have exceeded the over/under by 2.6 points.
Arizona State’s offense has been driven by their ground game, ranking 24th in the nation with 224.8 rushing yards per game. They are 20th in rushing attempts, averaging 43.2 per game. Cam Skattebo leads the team with 619 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Overall, the Sun Devils are scoring 33.2 points per game, placing them 31st nationally, and they are 36th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.
Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,012 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions, with a passer rating of 90. Arizona State ranks 93rd in passing yards per game, averaging 205.4. Jordyn Tyson leads the receiving corps with 285 yards and three touchdowns on 20 catches. The Sun Devils have converted 44.3% of their third-down attempts.
Arizona State’s defense ranks 41st nationally, allowing 23.8 points per game. In their recent game against Kansas, they gave up 31 points, surrendering 412 total yards, including 260 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 215 passing yards per game against Arizona State, completing 58.6% of their throws. The Sun Devils rank 23rd in the nation against the run, allowing just 98.6 rushing yards per game on 31 attempts per contest.