UT Arlington Mavericks vs Missouri State Bears NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/19/24

Betting on today’s Mavericks and Bears game? Catch the action at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 153.5 points, with Missouri State being favored by -2 over UT Arlington.

UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS VS MISSOURI STATE BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Missouri State Bears -2

This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, November 19th.

WHY BET THE MISSOURI STATE BEARS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Bears.
• Not only will Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.

Taking a Look at the Mavericks Chances on the Road

UT Arlington Mavericks Recent Game/Games

UT Arlington fell 98-95 to USC on Wednesday, November 13th. The Mavericks were +15.5 point underdogs going into the game, but they kept it closer than expected.

After trailing 51-42 at halftime, UT Arlington came out strong in the 2nd half, scoring 53 points while holding USC to 47. The total points for the game reached 193, well over the 155.5 O/U line.

UT Arlington’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 95 points on 55.6% shooting from the field. They were especially deadly from beyond the arc, hitting 16 of 24 threes for a 66.7% rate, contributing to an effective field goal percentage of 70.4%. At the free-throw line, they connected on 19 of 23 attempts, good for 82.6%.

The Mavericks also dished out 24 assists, with Desmond Claude and Kade Douglas each recording 8. Jaden Wells led the team with 27 points, hitting 7 of 10 threes, while Claude added 26 points on 9 of 12 shooting. Josh Cohen and Jaxon Ellingsworth both contributed 19 points, with Ellingsworth knocking down 4 of 5 from deep.

UT Arlington’s defense struggled in their previous game, giving up 98 points while allowing the opposition to shoot 55% from the field. Inside the arc, they were particularly vulnerable, as the other team hit 64% of their two-point attempts, going 29/45.

From beyond the three-point line, UT Arlington allowed 6 threes on 18 attempts, a 33% shooting rate. They also sent the opposing team to the free-throw line 27 times, where they converted 22 of those attempts, shooting 81%.

Do the Bears Have What it Takes at Home?

Missouri State Bears Recent Game/Games

Missouri State pulled off a 111-106 win over Tulsa on Saturday, November 16th. The Bears, who were +3.5 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread.

After leading 33-32 at halftime, Missouri State scored 42 points in the 2nd half while allowing 43. The game’s total points of 217 far exceeded the O/U line of 143.5.

Missouri State put up 111 points in their last game, shooting 52.9% from the field and 43.8% from three-point range. They connected on 7 of 16 attempts from deep and hit 29 of 52 two-pointers, good for 55.8% inside the arc.

At the free-throw line, the Bears went 32 for 51, shooting 62.7%. Justin Amadi led the way with 24 points and 9 rebounds, while Dwon Odom added 21 points and 6 boards. Dez White and Braeden Carrington each contributed 20 points, with Carrington also grabbing 10 rebounds and dishing out 5 assists.

Missouri State’s defense struggled, giving up 106 points on 52% shooting. They allowed 36 field goals on 68 attempts.

Inside the arc, the Bears gave up 29 two-pointers on 52 shots (55%). From three, they allowed 7 makes on 16 attempts (43%).