UT Arlington Mavericks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/12/24

Betting on today’s Mavericks and Red Wolves game? Catch the action at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR, as the Red Wolves hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Arkansas State as the -8.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 157 points.
UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: UT Arlington Mavericks +8.5
This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Thursday, December 12th.
WHY BET THE UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Red Wolves.
- Even though we have Arkansas State winning straight-up, we like UT Arlington at +8.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 157 points, and we like the under with a projected 148 points.
Will the Mavericks Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?
UT Arlington Mavericks Recent Game/Games
UT Arlington improved to 2-5 on the season with an 84-70 road win over Louisiana-Monroe on Monday. The Mavericks were -6.5 favorites going into the game and covered the spread with the win.
After leading 34-30 at halftime, UT Arlington scored 50 points in the 2nd half while allowing 40. The game’s total points of 154 went over the pre-game O/U line of 148.
UT Arlington’s offense put up 84 points in their last game, shooting 45.5% from the field. They connected on 15 of 34 three-point attempts, hitting at a 44.1% clip, contributing to an effective field goal percentage of 57.6%.
The Mavericks dished out 22 assists and grabbed 14 offensive rebounds. Lance Ware led the team with 17 points and 9 rebounds, while Jaxon Ellingsworth also grabbed 9 boards and added 16 points on 7-of-9 shooting.
UT Arlington’s defense held their opponent to 70 points on 35% shooting from the field, including 38% on two-point attempts (18/47). They also limited three-point damage, with the opposing team hitting just 5 of 18 shots from beyond the arc, a 27% success rate.
Despite sending the other team to the line 30 times, UT Arlington saw them convert only 19 free throws, a 63% clip. However, the Mavericks did give up 19 offensive rebounds in the game.
Can the Red Wolves Hold Strong at Home?
Arkansas State improved to 6-3 on the season with an 85-72 road win over Memphis on Sunday. The Red Wolves entered the game as +12.5 point underdogs but not only pulled off the upset, they also covered the spread.
Arkansas State led 42-29 at halftime and matched Memphis point-for-point in the second half, with both teams scoring 43 points. The game’s total points of 157 went over the pre-game O/U line of 152.
Arkansas State managed to put up 85 points in their last game, despite shooting just 36.6% from the field. They hit 12 threes at a 33.3% clip, with an effective field goal percentage of 45.1%. The Red Wolves also connected on 77.8% of their free throws, going 21-for-27 from the line.
Offensive rebounding was a key factor, as they grabbed 16 boards on the offensive end. PJ Haggerty led the way with 29 points, shooting 53.3% overall and 66.7% from deep. Joseph Pinion added 22 points, hitting 5 threes, while Dyondre Dominguez was perfect from beyond the arc, going 3-for-3 and finishing with 19 points in just 18 minutes.
Arkansas State’s defense held their opponent to 72 points, with a strong effort in limiting field goals. They allowed just 35% shooting overall, as the opposition went 21/59 from the field.
Inside the arc, Arkansas State gave up 14/37 shooting (37%), while from three-point range, they allowed 7/22 (31%). They also sent the opponent to the free-throw line 34 times, where they made 23 (67%).