UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs Utah State Aggies NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/29/25

Looking to win big? The Runnin’ Rebels and Aggies face off at 10:00 ET on FS1. The Aggies are hosting the game at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have Utah State as the -11.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 144.5 points.
UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS VS UTAH STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels +11.5
This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, January 29th.
WHY BET THE UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-71 in favor of the Aggies.
- Even though we have Utah State winning straight-up, we like UNLV at +11.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Do the Runnin’ Rebels Stand a Chance in Logan?
UNLV’s season record dropped to 11-9 after a narrow 75-73 loss to New Mexico on Saturday. The Rebels were +3.5 point underdogs going into the game but managed to cover the spread.
After a 39-39 tie at halftime, UNLV scored 34 points in the second half while allowing 36. The total points for the game were 148, just under the O/U line of 148.5.
In their recent game, UNLV’s offense put up 73 points, shooting 42.6% from the field and 38.1% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 50%, and they hit 19 of 29 free throws, good for 65.5%.
Donovan Dent led the way with 34 points on 13 of 21 shooting, including 2 of 3 from beyond the arc. Nelly Junior Joseph added 22 points and grabbed 18 rebounds, while Dedan Thomas Jr. contributed 18 points and 7 assists.
Despite UNLV’s defensive efforts, they allowed 75 points on 42% shooting from the field. The Runnin’ Rebels gave up 15 two-point baskets on 33 attempts, with the opposing team shooting 45% from inside the arc.
From three-point range, UNLV’s opponents hit 8 of 21 shots, good for 38%. The Runnin’ Rebels also sent them to the free-throw line 29 times, where they converted 19 attempts, shooting 65%. UNLV allowed 12 offensive rebounds in the game.
Will Utah State Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?
Utah State Aggies Recent Game/Games
Utah State improved to 17-2 on the season with an 87-58 win over Air Force on Saturday. The Aggies were -14.5 favorites going into the game and covered the spread with the win.
After leading 42-33 at halftime, Utah State’s defense stepped up in the 2nd half, allowing just 25 points while scoring 45. The game’s total points reached 145, going over the pre-game O/U line of 140.5.
Utah State’s offense clicked in their last game, putting up 87 points with a 53.6% field goal percentage. They were especially effective from beyond the arc, hitting 16 of 31 threes for 51.6%, contributing to an impressive 67.9% effective field goal percentage.
The Aggies also connected on 84.6% of their free throws and dished out 22 assists. Ethan Taylor led the way with 18 points, hitting 4 of 9 from deep, while Ian Martinez added 16 points, shooting 4 of 7 from three-point range.
Utah State’s defense held their opponent to just 58 points, allowing them to shoot 38% from the field. The Aggies gave up 14 two-point baskets on 30 attempts, a 46% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, Utah State’s defense limited their opponent to 5 three-pointers on 20 attempts, a 25% success rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 23 times, where they made 15, shooting 65%. The Aggies allowed 10 offensive rebounds in the game.