UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Betting Pick & Prediction 12/6/24

FOX is set to broadcast the week 15 matchup between the UNLV Rebels and Boise State Broncos, which is scheduled for 8:00 ET on Friday, December 6th, at Albertsons Stadium in Boise. The Broncos are the -4 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently sitting at 58.5 points. Both teams have had strong seasons, with Boise State at 11-1 and UNLV at 10-2.

UNLV REBELS VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UNLV Rebels +4

This game will be played at Albertsons Stadium at 8:00 ET on Friday, December 6th.

WHY BET THE UNLV REBELS:

• We have the UNLV Rebels winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
• Not only do we have the UNLV Rebels winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4
• We see this game finishing below the line of 58.5 points

Will The UNLV Rebels Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

With a 10-2 record, UNLV heads into Week 15 against Boise State. They are 6-0 on the road and 3-1 at home this season. The Rebels have been favored in seven games, going 7-0 as the favorite. They have a +16.7 average scoring margin and are a lock for bowl eligibility. UNLV has a 31.5% chance of winning the Mountain West and ranks 13th in the nation with a 27.5% chance of making the playoff.

UNLV’s ATS record stands at 6-4, with a 4-2 mark on the road and 2-2 at home. They are 4-3 against the spread as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog. On the road, they are 2-2 ATS as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 60.7 points, with their average over/under line at 57.3 points. They are 4-6 against the over/under this season, with four games having higher lines than this week’s total and seven games with lower lines.

UNLV’s offense is averaging 38.7 points per game, ranking 7th in the nation. They are 3rd in rushing, with 259.2 yards per game, and 5th in rushing attempts, averaging 44.3 per game. Jai’Den Thomas leads the rushing attack with 833 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 6 yards per carry. UNLV is ranked 46th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.

Quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,735 yards, with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 109. UNLV ranks 13th in passer rating nationally. Ricky White III has 1,020 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on 75 catches.

UNLV’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 101.7 rushing yards per game. In their recent win against Nevada, they gave up only 67 rushing yards. The secondary has allowed 248.2 passing yards per game, but they rank 16th in the nation by holding opposing quarterbacks to a 54.8% completion rate.

In the game against Nevada, UNLV’s defense allowed 14 points and 359 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced an interception. This season, the defense is ranked 31st in the country, giving up 22 points per game.

Are The Boise State Broncos Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Boise State enters Week 15 with an 11-1 record, and they are ranked 27th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and hold a 68.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. Nationally, they have the 8th best odds of making the playoff at 68.6%.

The Broncos are undefeated at home (5-0) and have gone 5-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in 10 of their 12 games and are 10-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +17.4 points per game, and they are 6-4-1 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is set at 58.5 points. Boise State’s games have averaged 63.8 points, and their average over/under line is 60.6 points. Their over/under record for the season is 6-5.

Boise State’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 3rd in points per game with 40.6, and they are 6th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15. Their run game is a major strength, averaging 255.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 4th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has been a standout, rushing for 2,288 yards and 28 touchdowns, with an average of 7 yards per carry. Boise State also excels on third downs, converting 49.4% of their attempts.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 2,556 yards, completing 61.7% of his passes, with 21 touchdowns and just three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 102. Boise State ranks 61st in passing attempts per game. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 811 yards and four touchdowns on 51 catches.

Boise State’s defense has allowed an average of 23.2 points per game this season, ranking 38th nationally. In their recent game against Oregon State, they gave up 18 points, allowing 13 first downs and 345 total yards. Oregon State ran the ball 19 times for 119 yards and completed 21 of 37 passes for 226 yards.

Opponents have averaged 258.2 passing yards per game against Boise State, with a completion rate of 62.5%. The defense ranks 21st in the nation against the run, giving up just 107.1 rushing yards per game on 31.1 attempts, which is the 26th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.