UNCG Spartans vs Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Pick & Prediction 12/16/23

The Spartans and Thundering Herd are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Thundering Herd will host the game at Cam Henderson Center in Huntington, WV. In this non-conference matchup, the Spartans are the betting favorite against the Thundering Herd. The over/under for the game is 155 points.
UNCG SPARTANS VS MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD BETTING PICK
The Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd +2
This game will be played at Cam Henderson Center at 7:00 ET on Saturday, December 16th.
WHY BET THE MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-66 in favor of the Thundering Herd.
- Not only will Marshall pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Can the Spartans Deliver Being Favored on the Road?
In their upcoming game against Marshall, the UNCG Spartans have a record of 8-1. In the previous ten games on the road, including last year’s, UNCG has a record of 7-3. As of now, UNCG holds a 3-3 ATS record leading into their game against Marshall. Up to this point, the Spartans have gone 3-1 ATS on the road while being 0-2 vs. the spread at home.
Through nine games, UNCG has an over/under record of 5-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 147.7 points per game so far. In the Spartans’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 149 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 3-1.
Compared to their season average of 80.1 points per game, UNCG struggled in their previous game. Against UIC, the Spartans scored 58 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.5%. The team’s scoring leader is Mikeal Brown-Jones, who holds an average of 19.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Donovan Atwell is averaging 13.9 points per game this season.
At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 134th, allowing 70.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.0 threes per game vs. Marshall. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.2%.
Does Marshall Stand a Chance at Home?
Marshall will be playing their 11th game of the season with an overall record of 3-7. In away games, the Thundering Herd have a 2-5 record this season, while at home they have a 1-1 record. Marshall’s ATS record sits below .500, currently at 4-5. Over their last five games, the team has gone 2-3 vs. the spread.
So far, Marshall’s games have averaged 155.8 points per game with the average over/under line being 156.2 points. Looking at the Thundering Herd’s last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with their games averaging 157 points per game.
Marshall is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 87 points vs. Toledo. This figure is more than their season average of 75.1 points per game. Obinna Anochili-Killen led the scoring for the Thundering Herd, contributing 25 points. Additionally, Kamdyn Curfman chipped in with 19 points.
Facing UNCG, Marshall aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 81.4 points allowed per game (245th). So far, the Marshall defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.9 times per game (541st).