UNCG Spartans vs Citadel Bulldogs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 2/5/25

Planning on watching today’s Spartans and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at McAlister Field House in Charleston, SC, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. UNCG is favored by -12.5 in this Southern conference matchup the against Citadel. The over/under for the game is set at 131 points.
UNCG SPARTANS VS CITADEL BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Citadel Bulldogs +12.5
This game will be played at McAlister Field House at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 5th.
WHY BET THE CITADEL BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
- Not only will Citadel pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +12.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Can the Spartans Grab a Win in Charleston?
UNCG Spartans Recent Game/Games
The Spartans fell to 11-9 on the season after a 74-62 home loss to Wofford on Saturday. UNCG, who were -2.5 favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.
After trailing 35-27 at halftime, the Spartans allowed 39 points in the 2nd half while scoring 35 of their own. The game’s total points of 136 narrowly exceeded the over/under line of 135.5.
In their last game, UNCG managed just 62 points, shooting 39% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 44.1%. They hit 30.4% of their threes, going 7-for-23, and struggled at the free-throw line, making only 56.2% of their attempts.
Ronald Polite III and Corey Tripp each scored 18 points, with Tripp hitting 4-of-5 from deep, shooting 80% from three. The Spartans grabbed 16 offensive rebounds but finished with just 8 assists as a team.
Even with UNCG’s defense holding their opponent to 39% shooting, the Spartans still allowed 74 points. They gave up 16 offensive rebounds, which might have contributed to the scoring.
From beyond the arc, UNCG’s defense limited their opponent to 30% shooting, with just 7 threes made. At the free-throw line, the opposing team shot 56%, converting 9 of 16 attempts.
Is A Home Victory Likely for Underdog Citadel?
Citadel Bulldogs Recent Game/Games
The Citadel Bulldogs dropped to 1-16 on the season after an 83-58 home loss to Samford on Saturday. Entering the game as +16.5 point underdogs, Citadel didn’t cover the spread, and the total points of 141 fell just short of the 143.5 O/U line.
Citadel trailed 47-29 at halftime and couldn’t mount a comeback, scoring 29 points in the 2nd half while allowing 36.
The Citadel Bulldogs struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 33.3% from the field and 28.6% on two-point attempts. They managed to connect on 37% of their three-point shots, hitting 10 of 27 from beyond the arc.
Christian Moore led the team with 19 points, shooting 5 of 12 from three-point range. Sola Adebisi added 18 points and 9 rebounds, while Trey Fort contributed 17 points, hitting 3 of 6 threes. The Bulldogs also shot 59.3% from the free-throw line, making 16 of 27 attempts.
Despite giving up 83 points, the Citadel Bulldogs held their opponent to just 33% shooting from the field, including 28% on two-point attempts, as they went 16/48 overall.
From beyond the arc, Citadel allowed 10 threes on 27 attempts, a 37% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 27 times, where they hit 16, shooting 59%. The Bulldogs gave up 9 offensive rebounds.