UCF Knights vs Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Prediction for 11/1

In Week 10 of the 2025 college football season, the UCF Knights travel to Waco to take on the Baylor Bears. The game will be held at McLane Stadium, an outdoor field that serves as Baylor’s home ground. Kickoff is set for Saturday, November 01, at 12:00 PM and will be broadcast on ESNU.
The UCF Knights enter this game with a 4-3 record. They have struggled on the road, with an 0-2 away record this season. Baylor holds a 4-4 record and has been evenly matched at home with a 2-2 record. Both teams are part of the Big 12 Conference, making this matchup important for their standings.
UCF Team Preview
The UCF Knights have shown mixed results in their recent games. They had a big win against the West Virginia Mountaineers with a score of 45-13. In that game, they managed 323 passing yards and 256 rushing yards, demonstrating a strong offensive performance.
In a previous game against the Cincinnati Bearcats, the Knights struggled and lost 20-11. Despite the loss, they achieved 26 first downs compared to Cincinnati’s 14. They also had more total yards, with 222 passing and 191 rushing yards.
The Knights have a solid ground game, ranking 36th in rushing yards this season. Injuries could affect their performance, as several key players are questionable or out. Notable players on the injury list include QB Cam Fancher and RB Taevion Swint.
UCF vs Baylor Game Day Info
- Sport: NCAA Football
- Teams: UCF Knights vs. Baylor Bears
- Venue: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Betting Odds: UCF Moneyline +168, Baylor Moneyline -201, UCF Spread +4.5 (-112), Baylor Spread -4.5 (-108), Total Over 60.5 (-106), Total Under 60.5 (-114)
Baylor Team Preview
The Baylor Bears have faced a challenging season so far. In their recent game against Cincinnati, they lost 41-20. Despite the loss, they showed strength in passing with 137 yards, but struggled with their rushing defense, allowing 268 yards.
Earlier, the Bears had a close game against TCU, losing 42-36. They managed to secure 27 first downs and gained 318 passing yards. However, they had trouble with ball control, recording three interceptions.
The Bears have shown they can compete at home, winning 35-34 against Kansas State. In that game, they achieved 345 passing yards. However, their defense allowed 162 rushing yards, which remains a concern moving forward.
BTB Betting Pick
For the spread pick, UCF is favored to cover the +4.5 spread. The Knights have shown a strong defense this season, ranking 56th in points against and 15th in sacks. Baylor’s defense ranks 128th in points against, suggesting UCF can keep the game close and cover the spread.
For the over/under pick, take the over 60.5 points. Baylor’s offense ranks 25th in points for and 3rd in passing yards, indicating they can score. UCF also has a capable offense, making the total of 60.5 achievable with both teams’ scoring abilities.