UC Davis Aggies vs Sacramento State Hornets NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/14/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Aggies versus the Hornets? Tip off is at at 10:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA. UC Davis is favored by -7.5 in this non-conference contest against Sacramento State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 137 points.
UC DAVIS AGGIES VS SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +7.5
This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 10:00 ET on Saturday, December 14th.
WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Hornets.
- Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Can The Aggies Secure a Road Victory?
UC Davis Aggies Recent Game/Games
UC Davis improved to 4-4 on the season with a 71-60 win over UC Santa Barbara on Saturday. The Aggies were +2.5 point underdogs but covered the spread with the victory.
After a 28-28 tie at halftime, UC Davis took control in the second half, outscoring the Gauchos 43-32. The combined points of 131 fell short of the 145.5 O/U line.
UC Davis put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 41.5% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc, hitting 9 of 23 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 49.1%, and they connected on 78.3% of their free throws, going 18 for 23 from the line.
Ty Johnson led the way with 23 points and 8 rebounds, despite going 0 for 3 from three-point range. Kenny Pohto and Stephan Swenson each added 16 points, with Swenson hitting 4 of 10 from deep. Niko Rocak contributed 11 points and 10 rebounds, making both of his three-point attempts.
UC Davis held their opponent to 60 points, with the defense allowing 41% shooting from the field. The Aggies gave up 13 two-point baskets on 30 attempts, a 43% conversion rate.
From beyond the arc, UC Davis allowed 9 threes on 23 attempts, with the opponent shooting 39%. The Aggies also sent them to the line 23 times, where they made 18 free throws, shooting 78%. UC Davis gave up 8 offensive rebounds.
Can the Hornets Hold Strong at Home?
The Hornets’ season struggles continued with a 70-60 home loss to Omaha on Saturday, dropping their record to 1-7. Sacramento State entered the game as 1-point favorites but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 130, falling short of the 137.5 O/U line.
Sacramento State trailed 38-27 at halftime and couldn’t mount a comeback, scoring 33 points in the 2nd half while allowing 32.
In their last game, the Hornets managed just 60 points, shooting 35.6% from the field. They connected on 8 of 26 three-point attempts, hitting 30.8% from deep, while their two-point shooting was 42.1%.
Marquel Sutton led the way with 23 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 52.9% overall and 2 of 3 from beyond the arc. The Hornets hit 20 of 26 free throws, finishing at 76.9% from the line.
Sacramento State’s defense held their opponent to 70 points on 35% shooting from the field, including 42% from two-point range. They allowed 8 made two-pointers on 19 attempts.
From beyond the arc, the Hornets gave up 8 threes on 26 attempts, a 30% shooting rate. Their opponent also went 20/26 from the free-throw line, shooting 76%. Sacramento State allowed 9 offensive rebounds.