UC Davis Aggies vs California-San Diego Tritons Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/24

Planning on watching today’s Aggies and Tritons game? Catch the action at LionTree Arena in San Diego, CA, as the Tritons hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Big West conference game currently have California-San Diego as the -6.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 140.5 points.

UC DAVIS AGGIES VS CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UC Davis Aggies +6.5

This game will be played at LionTree Arena at 10:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE UC DAVIS AGGIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-66 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will UC Davis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can UC Davis Grab a Win on the Road?

UC Davis enters this game as a 6.5-point underdog. So far this season, the Aggies have been the underdog in 9 of their 29 games, going 4-5 in those contests. On the road, they have a record of 6-6, including a 1-2 record in their last three games.

In their last game, UC Davis defeated Hawaii by a score of 75-63. This season, they have an overall record of 17-12, including a 12-6 record in Big West play. Over their last ten road games, the Aggies have gone 6-4.

UC Davis has an ATS record of 13-14 this season and they are 6-6 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for UC Davis games is 10-17. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 140.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points.

The UC Davis offense is coming off a game in which they scored 75 points vs. Hawaii. Overall their field goal percentage was 53.1% while connecting on 4 threes. Elijah Pepper is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 20.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Ty Johnson brings a PPG average of 17.8 into the game.

UC Davis’ defense has been playing well, ranking 68th nationally, with 67.8 points allowed per game. The UC Davis defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 63 points and allowed Hawaii to connect on 4 threes.

Are the Tritons Ready for a Home Win?

California-San Diego is 10-2 at home this season and has won seven straight games at home. They have gone 9-1 in their last 10 home games. The Tritons are 14-4 when favored, and they have been favored 18 times this season.

Overall, California-San Diego has gone 20-10 this season, and they are 13-4 in Big West games. They are coming off a 79-69 win over CSUN.

As the favorite this season, UC San Diego has gone 12-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tritons have an ATS mark of 6-4. At home, UCSD is 9-3 ATS this year, and they are 7-2 ATS over their last 10 home games.

On the season, the over/under record for California-San Diego games is 12-14-1 and today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (143.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

California-San Diego’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 79 points vs. CSUN. Overall, they hit 41.4% of their shots from the field and went 21/28 from the free-throw line. In terms of three-point shooting, the Tritons offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 25.3 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

The Tritons’ defense is presently ranked 65th nationally, allowing an average of 67.7 points per contest. Against CSUN in their most recent game, the California-San Diego defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing CSUN to hit 45% of their shots.