UAB Blazers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick & Prediction 12/9/23

The Blazers and Red Wolves are set to face off at 3:30 ET on ESPN+. The Red Wolves will host the game at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. The Blazers come into this non-conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 150.5 points.
UAB BLAZERS VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +4
This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 3:30 ET on Saturday, December 9th.
WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Red Wolves.
- Not only will Arkansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Can UAB Grab a Win on the Road?
UAB is entering their 9th game of the season with a 4-4 record. In their previous three road games, including last year, UAB has gone 1-2. As of today’s game, UAB holds a 4-4 record against the spread. This consists of a 2-0 performance on the road vs. the spread and a 2-4 record at home.
Through eight games, UAB has an over/under record of 5-3-0 with their games averaging a combined 148 points per game so far. Over the course of the last five games, the Blazers’ games have averaged 151 points per game, along with an over/under record of 3-2.
UAB is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 82 points vs. Southern Miss. This figure is more than their season average of 73.1 points per game. Alejandro Vasquez led the team in scoring, putting up 26 points. Additionally, Christian Coleman contributed 14 points for the Blazers.
So far, the Blazers’ defense is ranked 190th in the country at 74.9 points per contest. The UAB defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 85 points and allowed Southern Miss to connect on 8 threes.
Does Arkansas State Have What it Takes at Home?
In their first nine games of the season, Arkansas State has a record of 2-7. In their last five home games, which includes games from last year, Arkansas State has a record of 3-2. As Arkansas State enters today’s game, their ATS record stands at 4-5. In their previous five games, they are 2-3 vs. the spread.
In nine games, Arkansas State comes in with an over/under mark of 2-7-0, with their games averaging 154.3 points per game. The Red Wolves’ last five games have finished with a combined 140 points per game and an over/under record of 0-5.
Compared to their season average of 73.2 points per game, Arkansas State struggled in their previous game. Against Little Rock, the Red Wolves scored 66 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 36.1%. Leading the team in scoring is Taryn Todd, who is averaging 13.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Dyondre Dominguez also maintains a PPG average of 12.9 heading into game.
Facing UAB, Arkansas State aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 80.1 points allowed per game (237th). Against Little Rock in their most recent game, the Arkansas State defense gave up a total of 77 points while allowing Little Rock to hit 45% of their shots.