Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/18/25
The Trojans and Jaguars are set to face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Jaguars will host the game at Mitchell Center in Mobile, AL. The over/under for this Sun Belt conference contest is set at 129.5 points, with South Alabama being favored by -3.5 at home against Troy.
TROY TROJANS VS SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars -3.5
This game will be played at Mitchell Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 18th.
WHY BET THE SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-70 in favor of the Jaguars.
- Not only will South Alabama pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.
Do the Trojans Have What it Takes in Mobile?
Troy Trojans Recent Game/Games
The Trojans improved to 9-6 on the season with a 77-58 win over Louisiana-Monroe on Wednesday. Troy was favored by 13 points going into the game and covered the spread with the victory.
After leading 35-30 at halftime, Troy clamped down defensively, holding the Warhawks to 28 points in the second half while scoring 42 themselves. The game’s total points of 135 fell just under the O/U line of 136.5.
Troy’s offense put up 77 points in their last game, shooting 48.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 56.2%. They hit 60.6% of their two-point attempts and made 11 threes at a 35.5% clip. Free throw shooting was a struggle, as they connected on just 4 of 8 attempts.
The Trojans grabbed 18 offensive rebounds and dished out 21 assists. Four players scored 16 points: Coltie Young, Thomas Dowd, Cooper Campbell, and Jacob Wilson. Dowd was efficient, hitting 6 of 9 shots, including 3 of 6 from deep, while Young made 4 of 10 from three-point range.
Despite giving up 16 offensive rebounds, the Troy Trojans held their opponent to just 58 points, thanks to a strong defensive effort that limited them to 31% shooting from the field. Troy’s defense was particularly effective inside, where they allowed just 13 two-point baskets on 39 attempts, a 33% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, Troy’s defense kept their opponent to 8 made threes on 27 attempts, a 29% success rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 11 times, where they made 8, shooting 72%.
Can the Jaguars Please their Home Crowd?
South Alabama Jaguars Recent Game/Games
South Alabama improved to 11-5 on the season with a 75-62 win over Southern Miss on Wednesday. The Jaguars, playing at home, were -12.5 favorites going into the game and covered the spread with the victory.
South Alabama led 42-33 at halftime and held Southern Miss to 29 points in the 2nd half while scoring 33 of their own. The game’s total points of 137 fell just short of the 138.5 O/U line.
South Alabama’s offense put up 75 points in their last game, shooting 36.8% from the field. They connected on 14 of 39 three-point attempts, hitting 35.9% from deep, while their two-point shooting was just 38.9%.
The Jaguars were efficient from the free-throw line, making 19 of 21 attempts for a 90.5% success rate. Dylan Fasoyiro led the way with 17 points, hitting 4 of 8 from beyond the arc, while Denijay Harris contributed 14 rebounds and 11 points.
South Alabama’s defense held their opponent to 62 points on 36% shooting from the field, including 38% from two-point range. They also limited their opponent’s offensive rebounds, allowing just 6.
From beyond the arc, the opponent shot 14/39 for 35%. South Alabama sent them to the free-throw line 21 times, where they converted 19 attempts for 90%.