Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 10/15/24
South Alabama comes into this week eight matchup against Troy as the -13.5 point favorite. Kick-off is set for 7:30 ET from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, with ESPN2 handling the broadcast. The over/under line is at 54.5 points. South Alabama has a 2-4 record this season, while Troy is 1-5. The money line odds are -557 for South Alabama and +404 for Troy.
TROY TROJANS VS SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars -13.5
This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, October 15th.
WHY BET THE SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS:
- We have the South Alabama Jaguars winning this one by a score of 37 to 18
- Not only do we have the South Alabama Jaguars winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -13.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 54.5 points
Will The Troy Trojans Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
With a 1-5 record, Troy faces South Alabama in Week 8. They rank 100th in our CFB power rankings and have just a 5.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. Troy is 0-2 on the road and 0-3 at home this season.
Their average scoring margin is -7.2 points per game, and they are 1-4 against the spread. Troy has been favored in two games, going 0-2 ATS as the favorite and 1-2 as the underdog.
This week’s over/under line is 54.5 points. Troy’s games have averaged 48.5 points, with an average line of 48.3 points. They are 2-3 against the over/under this season, with three games above and three below this week’s line.
Heading into week 8, Troy’s offense ranks 89th in our power rankings, averaging 20.7 points per game. They are 90th in both passing and rushing yards, with 202.2 passing yards and 136.2 rushing yards per game. They are 69th in passing attempts, averaging 25.2 per game, and 52nd in rushing attempts, with 32.8 per game.
Goose Crowder leads the team with 546 passing yards and a 69.8% completion rate. He has five touchdown passes and no interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 122. Damien Taylor has rushed for 399 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Devonte Ross has 555 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 31 catches.
Troy’s defense struggled in their recent game, allowing 38 points in a 38-17 loss to Texas State. They gave up 593 total yards, including 273 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 320 passing yards, with four passing touchdowns allowed.
On the season, Troy’s defense is giving up 27.8 points per game. Opponents are averaging 184.2 rushing yards per game and 198.8 passing yards, completing 70.6% of their passes with a passer rating of 97.5.
Are The South Alabama Jaguars Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
South Alabama enters Week 8 with a 2-4 record, ranked 75th in our power rankings. They have a 63.3% chance of reaching bowl eligibility but only a 6% chance of winning the Sun Belt. At home, they are 0-1, while their road record stands at 1-3.
The Jaguars are 1-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +9.3 points per game. They’ve been favored in three games but are 0-3 ATS as the favorite.
South Alabama’s over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 63.7 points. This week’s line is set at 54.5 points, compared to their average line of 61.5 points.
South Alabama’s offense is averaging 36.5 points per game heading into week 8, ranking 18th in the nation. They are also 29th in rushing, with 204 yards per game. Gio Lopez, their quarterback, has thrown for 1,306 yards, 12 touchdowns, and just one interception, giving him a passer rating of 115.
Lopez’s performance has South Alabama ranked 29th in passer rating nationally. Overall, they are 48th in our offensive power rankings. Fluff Bothwell leads their rushing attack with 408 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry and scoring six touchdowns. Jamaal Pritchett has 531 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
South Alabama’s defense allowed 18 points in their recent 18-16 loss to Arkansas State, giving up 384 total yards. They held Arkansas State without a touchdown, allowing 171 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 213 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Opponents are averaging 27.2 points per game against South Alabama, with 310.3 passing yards per game. The defense is ranked 69th nationally against the run, allowing 135.8 rushing yards per game on 30.5 attempts, which is the 22nd fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.